Why TKO Stock surged +2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$178.77 +2.81% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (66/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+100.6% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $33.84B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$238 Bull$185 Base$144 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($3.7M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $175.00
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TKO Stock surged +2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO) surged +2.81% to $178.77 as options desks priced 61% call premium vs. 39% put protection around the $175 max-pain magnet. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+100.6% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($170.14 – $226.94) with RSI-14 at 54 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $3.7M in bullish call flow vs. $2.4M in put flow (Put/Call 0.64x, implied earnings swing ±7.2%).
  • ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: TKO Accounting Gap: Net Income (+220%) Outpaced OCF (+119.4%) With +67.9% Working-Capital Build
Live TKO Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 11d ago
Is TKO Stock Really Expensive?

Shares of TKO Group Holdings (TKO) trade at 56.8 times its earnings over the past twelve months, compared with 22.9 for the S&P 500. Buyers paying that much are betting on profit the owner of UFC and WWE has not earned y

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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring TKO)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of TKO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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TKO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $179.9H $182.0L $179.0C $180.7VOL 1.00M
RES: $184.3SUP: $168.5SMA50: $182.8SMA200: $193.3
$222.3$208.1$194.0$179.9$165.8RES $184.3SUP $168.5$180.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
42.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TKO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TKO stock moving today?

Why TKO Stock surged +2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+100.6% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.