Alpha Teknova Inc. (TKNO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$8.09 +2.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.12

Alpha Teknova Inc. (TKNO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $499.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.12 (+0.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$10 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE TKNO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TKNO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TKNO SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.93 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$8.84-19.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$7.08-9.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$6.42+26% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$8.09-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TKNO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TKNO currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.71) and Max Pain ($8.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TKNO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TKNO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TKNO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TKNO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TKNO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +127.89%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $8.01H $8.09L $7.11C $8.09VOL 651.1K
RES: $10.62SUP: $5.04SMA50: $7.71SMA200: $4.88
$9.95$8.00$6.05$4.10$2.16RES $10.62SUP $5.04$8.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKNO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKNO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKNO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKNO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TKNO)

Health Care Rank #507 of 1016 ⚔️ NNNN vs TKNO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TKNO vs. NNNN, MYGN, ACHV, QDEL)

Industry: Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Teknova Inc. (TKNO) ranks #507 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #453 by equity capitalization ($499.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNNN leads on earnings valuation at 83.6x trailing P/E, while NNNN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.0% ROIC and 87.2% gross margin. NNNN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with TKNO at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TKNO ACTIVE
Alpha Teknova Inc.
D 44/100 — 33.2% -21.3% +2.93% $499.2M Benchmark Subject
NNNN
Anbio Biotechnology (Class A)
D 45/100 83.6x 87.2% 17.0% -3.12% $535.3M /nnnn-vs-tkno →
MYGN
Myriad Genetics Inc.
D- 39/100 — 69.9% -35.0% +0.60% $638.0M /mygn-vs-tkno →
ACHV
Achieve Life Sciences Inc.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% +4.96% $739.9M /achv-vs-tkno →
QDEL
QuidelOrtho Corporation
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -1.78% $943.6M /qdel-vs-tkno →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001850902

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Teknova Inc. (TKNO) reported GAAP revenue of $40.5M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $37.7M , and +10.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.3M, operating cash flow of -$8.6M, and free cash flow of -$9.8M (+27.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TKNO closed FY2025 with $103.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.93, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $40.5M -$17.3M -$8.6M -$9.8M $103.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $37.7M -$26.7M -$12.4M -$13.5M $118.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $36.7M -$36.8M -$18.8M -$18.8M — —

3. TKNO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TKNO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alpha Teknova Inc. (NASDAQ: TKNO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $8.09 (+2.93% 1D, market cap $499.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TKNO ranks #507 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TKNO compare to NNNN and MYGN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances), TKNO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.2%, and ROIC of -21.3%. By comparison, NNNN (Anbio Biotechnology (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 83.6x, ROIC 17.0%, cap $535.3M) and MYGN (Myriad Genetics Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $638.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNNN leads on earnings multiple (83.6x) while NNNN leads on capital efficiency (17.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TKNO?

Per TKNO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001850902), Alpha Teknova Inc. generated $40.5M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), -$17.3M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $103.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TKNO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TKNO last traded at $8.09 (+2.93% on volume of 679,716 shares), positioning the stock +4.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.71) and +65.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.88). Across its 52-week range of $1.91 to $9.48, TKNO sits at the 81.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.08 to $9.10).

TKNO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does TKNO pay a dividend and is it safe?

Alpha Teknova Inc. (TKNO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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