Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TK / financials

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Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$14.90 +1.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.99

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.29B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TK SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$15.27-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$14.06+4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$14.72+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$14.90+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (83) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, TK faces multiple-compression risk if 13.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.13) or 200D SMA ($12.39) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.04) toward Bear Floor ($12.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$111.5M (11.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.46B

FY24

Rev $1.22B

FY25

Rev $949.5M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$949.5M	66.6%	31.9%	$98.1M	$111.5M	19.6%
FY 2024	$1.22B	66.8%	29.9%	$133.8M	$396.7M	23.1%
FY 2023	$1.46B	66.6%	36.3%	$150.6M	$629.8M	19.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TK)

✓Walkthrough of TK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.53%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $14.85H $15.00L $14.71C $14.90VOL 274.7K

RES: $16.52SUP: $14.16SMA50: $14.13SMA200: $12.39

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TK Butterfly Map → + Track TK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #85 of 1011 ⚔️ NVGS vs TK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TK vs. NVGS, CCEC, GNK, GSL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #481 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TK ACTIVE Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B	75/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	+1.85%	$1.29B	Benchmark Subject
NVGS Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)	C+	67/100	13.4x	—	12.2%	+0.93%	$1.34B	/nvgs-vs-tk →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	47/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	-3.28%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-tk →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	58/100	—	—	0.6%	+4.02%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-tk →
GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)	C	64/100	3.6x	—	16.6%	+0.24%	$1.52B	/gsl-vs-tk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000911971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) reported GAAP revenue of $949.5M (-22.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and -35.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.1M, operating cash flow of $301.8M, and free cash flow of $111.5M (-71.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TK closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$949.5M	$98.1M	$301.8M	$111.5M	$2.36B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.22B	$133.8M	$467.2M	$396.7M	$2.15B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.46B	$150.6M	$629.8M	$629.8M	—	—

3. TK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $14.90 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TK ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TK compare to NVGS and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TK carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.2x, gross margin of 66.6%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.34B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TK?

Per TK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000911971), Teekay Corporation Ltd. generated $949.5M in revenue (-22.2% YoY), $98.1M in net income, and $111.5M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TK last traded at $14.90 (+1.85% on volume of 348,243 shares), positioning the stock +5.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.13) and +20.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.39). Across its 52-week range of $8.67 to $15.90, TK sits at the 86.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($13.80 to $16.00).

TK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TK converted $949.5M of revenue into a 66.6% gross margin, 31.9% operating margin, and $111.5M in free cash flow (11.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TK RQD Cockpit TK 12M Forecast TK Earnings & Move TK Dividends & DRIP TK Insiders & 13F TK Whale Options TK Profit Sankey TK News & Why