Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$24.54 +3.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.65

Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $577.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.65 (+0.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (11)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$28 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE TITN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TITN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TITN SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.7% FCF Margin ($137.5M FCF) & 15.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 83% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$22.63-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$22.18+4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$23.12+6.1% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$24.54-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TITN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TITN currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.95) and Max Pain ($25.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TITN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TITN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±10.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TITN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TITN.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TITN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TITN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TITN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.36%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $24.47H $24.54L $23.71C $24.54VOL 132.6K
RES: $30.91SUP: $15.79SMA50: $22.95SMA200: $20.02
$27.62$24.63$21.63$18.64$15.64RES $30.91SUP $15.79$24.542026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TITN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TITN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TITN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TITN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TITN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #563 of 1011 ⚔️ HVT vs TITN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TITN vs. HVT, WOOF, BNED, SGU)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) ranks #563 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #572 by equity capitalization ($577.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGU leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while BNED leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. HVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with TITN at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TITN ACTIVE
Titan Machinery Inc.
D+ 54/100 — 15.8% -0.7% +3.59% $577.5M Benchmark Subject
HVT
Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.
C+ 69/100 23.2x 60.7% 6.4% +3.81% $458.6M /hvt-vs-titn →
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)
D 49/100 81.5x 38.7% 4.0% +3.19% $741.8M /woof-vs-titn →
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education Inc
D+ 55/100 26.1x 23.4% 10.3% -1.47% $440.9M /bned-vs-titn →
SGU
Star Group L.P.
C- 59/100 5.8x 31.5% — -1.15% $423.9M /sgu-vs-titn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001409171

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.43B (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and -12.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$54.2M, operating cash flow of $137.5M, and free cash flow of $137.5M (+95.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TITN closed FY2025 with $1.62B in total assets against $158.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $2.43B -$54.2M $137.5M $137.5M $1.62B $158.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $2.70B -$36.9M $70.3M $70.3M $1.81B $157.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $2.76B $112.4M -$32.3M -$32.3M — —

3. TITN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TITN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Titan Machinery Inc. (NASDAQ: TITN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $24.54 (+3.59% 1D, market cap $577.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TITN ranks #563 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TITN compare to HVT and WOOF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), TITN carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.8%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $458.6M) and WOOF (Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 81.5x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $741.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TITN?

Per TITN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001409171), Titan Machinery Inc. generated $2.43B in revenue (-10.2% YoY), -$54.2M in net income, and $137.5M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $158.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TITN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TITN last traded at $24.54 (+3.59% on volume of 197,288 shares), positioning the stock +6.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.95) and +22.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.02). Across its 52-week range of $13.21 to $26.90, TITN sits at the 82.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($21.96 to $27.12).

TITN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TITN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TITN.

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