Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.99 -14.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.93

Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $70.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TGEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Tecogen Inc. (NYSE: TGEN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $1.99 (-14.59% 1D, market cap $70.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TGEN ranks #458 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TGEN compare to BLNK and GEOS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TGEN carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $59.7M) and GEOS (Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $59.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CEPL leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while CEPL leads on capital efficiency (59.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TGEN?
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Per TGEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001537435), Tecogen Inc. generated $27.1M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$8.2M in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $37.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.93 (-2.82%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.1% Base Target
$11 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TGEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TGEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TGEN SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$2.42-13.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$2.09+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$2.10-5.2% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$1.99-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TGEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TGEN currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.75) and Max Pain ($2.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TGEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TGEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.25 Expected Swing
$1.74 (-12.5%)Spot $1.99$2.24 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TGEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 24/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19.7%

Model Bullish Setup (24/100)Model Risk Weight (76/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$27.1M-$8.2M-$10.3M36.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$22.6M-$4.8M$3.1M43.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$25.1M-$4.6M-$817.8K36.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TGEN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TGEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TGEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $2.23H $2.28L $1.95C $1.99VOL 203.3K
RES: $2.32SUP: $1.80SMA50: $2.75SMA200: $3.81
$7.82$6.21$4.59$2.98$1.37RES $2.32SUP $1.80$1.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TGEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TGEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TGEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TGEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TGEN)

Industrials Rank #458 of 485 ⚔️ BLNK vs TGEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TGEN vs. BLNK, GEOS, CBAT, CEPL)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) ranks #458 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #391 by equity capitalization ($70.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CEPL leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while CEPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 59.3% ROIC and 32.0% gross margin. CBAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with TGEN at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TGEN ACTIVE
Tecogen Inc.
E 24/100 — 36.3% -35.0% -14.59% $70.3M Benchmark Subject
BLNK
Blink Charging Co.
E 32/100 — 24.6% -35.0% -2.84% $59.7M /blnk-vs-tgen →
GEOS
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)
E 24/100 — 29.7% -8.5% -4.13% $59.5M /geos-vs-tgen →
CBAT
CBAK Energy Technology Limited
C 62/100 — — — +13.18% $86.9M /cbat-vs-tgen →
CEPL
Capstone Energy Plus Inc.
D- 43/100 32.3x 32.0% 59.3% -5.05% $90.3M /cepl-vs-tgen →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001537435

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) reported GAAP revenue of $27.1M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.6M , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.2M, operating cash flow of -$9.9M, and free cash flow of -$10.3M (-433.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TGEN closed FY2025 with $37.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.24, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $27.1M -$8.2M -$9.9M -$10.3M $37.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.6M -$4.8M $4.1M $3.1M $31.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $25.1M -$4.6M -$817.8K -$817.8K — —

3. TGEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TGEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tecogen Inc. (NYSE: TGEN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $1.99 (-14.59% 1D, market cap $70.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TGEN ranks #458 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TGEN compare to BLNK and GEOS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TGEN carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $59.7M) and GEOS (Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $59.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CEPL leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while CEPL leads on capital efficiency (59.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TGEN?

Per TGEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001537435), Tecogen Inc. generated $27.1M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$8.2M in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $37.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TGEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TGEN last traded at $1.99 (-14.59% on volume of 203,434 shares), positioning the stock -27.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.75) and -47.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.87 to $10.47, TGEN sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.74 to $2.24).

TGEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TGEN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tecogen Inc. (TGEN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TGEN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for TGEN, spanning a range between $1.74 and $2.24.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TGEN — Tecogen Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TGEN scores 24 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 2 of 20, reflecting a return on invested capital of -35% and a free cash flow yield of -14.66%; for a prospective investor, this means the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it relative to the capital employed. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 8 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, indicating limited supportive institutional signal. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 3 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which offers little evidence of insider confidence. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 6 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted, so the stock does not offer a defensive profile against broad market moves. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 5 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 1.24, a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5, signaling elevated financial-distress and fundamental-weakness indicators. Taken together, the upside drivers are limited to the narrow catalyst flow described below, while the principal valuation tradeoff is that a stock priced at $1.99 with negative cash generation and negative return on capital has little demonstrated earnings support for its price. Investors evaluating this name today face a high-risk, low-visibility setup in which any recovery thesis must be weighed against the forensic weaknesses the rating highlights.

Business

Tecogen Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Per the profile, the company's market capitalization is $0.1B. The source data does not detail specific products, customer segments, or revenue model. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 36.3%.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$27.1M$-8.2M$-8.2MN/A$-10.3M$12.4MN/A
FY 2024$22.6M$-4.5M$-4.8MN/A$3.1M$5.4MN/A
FY 2023$25.1M$-4.4M$-4.6MN/A$-0.8MN/AN/A

Per the market data, the operating margin and net margin are each -30.5%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.24 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5. Reported operating and net losses appear in each of the three periods shown, and FY 2025 free cash flow was negative at $-10.3M, following a positive $3.1M in FY 2024. Balance-sheet posture per the RQD forensic pillar is weak.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the dominant theme is customer and product testimony around the company's InVerde offering in data-center power, with multiple items reporting that a data center cut electric bills substantially. These items are tagged as risk-watch or market-wire rather than hard catalysts. A single item is tagged CATALYST, referencing a Yahoo Finance report on a different issuer (TGS) and not on TGEN fundamentals. A Stock Titan-sourced item is tagged RISK WATCH, and a headline dated 2026-10-17 references a stock slide of -7.11% and a support test at $1.99. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, with sector recorded as Industrials and supply_chain as NONE.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's principal products and revenue segments, and what share of FY 2025 revenue of $27.1M comes from the InVerde offering referenced in the news feed?
  • What are the debt balances, since the financials report debt as N/A for all three periods while the RQD rating cites a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What are the reported EPS and the basis for the FY 2025 operating loss of $-8.2M relative to FY 2024 operating loss of $-4.5M?
  • What is the cash runway given FY 2025 free cash flow of $-10.3M against year-end cash of $12.4M?
  • What drove the -14.59% price change and the 52-week decline from $10.47 to $1.87?

TGEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TGEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TGEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.99?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TGEN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TGEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.75 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TGEN (E • RQD 24/100) a Buy at $1.99?

Welcome to the TGEN (Tecogen Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 24/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.49 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $1.99

Pump the brakes on TGEN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TGEN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 36.3% gross margins. Unless Tecogen Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.45 (+23.1%)
Spot @ $1.99

TGEN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TGEN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.99 (52-wk range $1.87 - $10.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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