Stock Ratings / Industrials / TG / dividends

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Tredegar Corporation (TG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$7.51 +3.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.57

Tredegar Corporation (TG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $262.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.57 (+0.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TG SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$7.03+11.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$7.84-6.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$7.31+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$7.51+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, TG faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.39) or 200D SMA ($8.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.95) toward Bear Floor ($6.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in TG & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on TG and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.77%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $7.44H $7.54L $7.40C $7.51VOL 302.2K

RES: $8.09SUP: $5.83SMA50: $7.39SMA200: $8.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TG Butterfly Map → + Track TG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TG)

Industrials Rank #56 of 485 ⚔️ NKLR vs TG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TG vs. NKLR, IMSR, FSTR, UAMY)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tredegar Corporation (TG) ranks #56 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #333 by equity capitalization ($262.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TG leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while TG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TG ACTIVE Tredegar Corporation	B-	71/100	7.8x	—	15.5%	+3.16%	$262.4M	Benchmark Subject
NKLR Terra Innovatum Global N.V.	E	32/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.51%	$257.5M	/nklr-vs-tg →
IMSR Terrestrial Energy Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	-10.0%	+3.13%	$366.0M	/imsr-vs-tg →
FSTR L.B. Foster Company	D+	58/100	50.7x	21.1%	10.1%	+0.47%	$382.8M	/fstr-vs-tg →
UAMY United States Antimony Corporation	D-	35/100	—	25.2%	-6.0%	-2.17%	$473.0M	/uamy-vs-tg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000850429

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tredegar Corporation (TG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $33.5M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $15.7M (+41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TG closed FY2025 with $371.4M in total assets against $34.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$33.5M	$33.0M	$15.7M	$371.4M	$34.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$64.6M	$25.5M	$11.2M	$356.4M	$60.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$105.9M	$24.0M	$24.0M	—	—

3. TG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $7.51 (+3.16% 1D, market cap $262.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $257.5M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $366.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TG last traded at $7.51 (+3.16% on volume of 208,234 shares), positioning the stock +1.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.39) and -7.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.08). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $10.53, TG sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($6.87 to $8.15).

TG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does TG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Tredegar Corporation (TG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: TG RQD Cockpit TG 12M Forecast TG Earnings & Move TG Dividends & DRIP TG Insiders & 13F TG Whale Options TG Profit Sankey TG News & Why