Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TEN / earnings

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Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.5% Move

$54.51 +1.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.77

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.64B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TEN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $54.51 (+1.34% 1D, market cap $1.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.72B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?

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Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.77 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 37.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TEN SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$54.58-8.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$50.05+10.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$55.19-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$54.51+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TEN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TEN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.96) or 200D SMA ($40.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.94) toward Bear Floor ($44.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.5% Swing Band

±$4.63 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $5.34 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.7%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$798.7M	$160.9M	$297.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$804.1M	$176.2M	$307.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$889.6M	$300.2M	$395.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TEN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TEN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $53.79H $54.51L $53.79C $54.51VOL 270.1K

RES: $58.14SUP: $42.06SMA50: $48.96SMA200: $40.01

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TEN Butterfly Map → + Track TEN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #115 of 1011 ⚔️ NAT vs TEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TEN vs. NAT, CMRE, FLNG, SFL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #443 by equity capitalization ($1.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TEN ACTIVE Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd	B	72/100	10.2x	—	6.6%	+1.34%	$1.64B	Benchmark Subject
NAT Nordic American Tankers Limited	C	62/100	139.9x	62.3%	4.6%	+2.01%	$1.72B	/nat-vs-ten →
CMRE Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value	D+	55/100	4.8x	—	12.8%	-2.44%	$1.74B	/cmre-vs-ten →
FLNG FLEX LNG Ltd.	D	46/100	20.7x	—	6.9%	+1.34%	$1.55B	/flng-vs-ten →
SFL SFL Corporation Ltd	D	51/100	—	—	3.9%	+3.05%	$1.75B	/sfl-vs-ten →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001166663

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) reported GAAP revenue of $798.7M (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $804.1M , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.9M, operating cash flow of $297.6M, and free cash flow of $297.6M (-3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEN closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$798.7M	$160.9M	$297.6M	$297.6M	$3.95B	$1.49B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$804.1M	$176.2M	$307.7M	$307.7M	$3.71B	$1.35B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$889.6M	$300.2M	$395.3M	$395.3M	—	—

3. TEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?

Where is TEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEN last traded at $54.51 (+1.34% on volume of 270,137 shares), positioning the stock +11.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.96) and +36.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.01). Across its 52-week range of $21.65 to $56.73, TEN sits at the 93.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($49.88 to $59.14).

TEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TEN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TEN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.5% event move for TEN, spanning a range between $49.88 and $59.14.

Direct Sub-Reports: TEN RQD Cockpit TEN 12M Forecast TEN Earnings & Move TEN Dividends & DRIP TEN Insiders & 13F TEN Whale Options TEN Profit Sankey TEN News & Why