Why TDW Stock surged +2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$87.33 +2.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.92

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $4.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $87.33 (+2.40% 1D, market cap $4.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDW ranks #109 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TDW compare to TRMD and DHT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TDW carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, TRMD (TORM plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.42B) and DHT (DHT Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDW leads on earnings multiple (12.7x) while TDW leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDW?
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Per TDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098222), Tidewater Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $333.5M in net income, and $353.3M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $649.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.92 (+0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 26.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$110 Bull$93 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE TDW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TDW SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 26.1% FCF Margin ($353.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$85.42-6.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$79.50+8.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$86.07+1.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$87.33+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TDW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TDW faces multiple-compression risk if 12.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.18) or 200D SMA ($79.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($92.83) toward Bear Floor ($71.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TDW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TDW Stock surged +2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) surged +2.40% to $87.33, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($49.54 – $101.58). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($49.54 – $101.58) with RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $87.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $353.3M annual free cash flow.
Live TDW Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TDW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.24%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $85.30H $87.49L $85.25C $87.33VOL 382.2K
RES: $110.0SUP: $76.67SMA50: $87.18SMA200: $79.43
$104.3$92.92$81.50$70.08$58.66RES $110.0SUP $76.67$87.332026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #109 of 1011 ⚔️ TRMD vs TDW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TDW vs. TRMD, DHT, ECO, BIPC)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tidewater Inc. (TDW) ranks #109 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #303 by equity capitalization ($4.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDW leads on earnings valuation at 12.7x trailing P/E, while TDW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and — gross margin. ECO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with TDW at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TDW ACTIVE
Tidewater Inc.
B 72/100 12.7x — 15.6% +2.40% $4.24B Benchmark Subject
TRMD
TORM plc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.82% $4.42B /trmd-vs-tdw →
DHT
DHT Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.24% $4.04B /dht-vs-tdw →
ECO
Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
B 73/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.29% $3.97B /eco-vs-tdw →
BIPC
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
C 62/100 — — — -0.24% $4.62B /bipc-vs-tdw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000098222

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tidewater Inc. (TDW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.35B , and +33.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $333.5M, operating cash flow of $379.1M, and free cash flow of $353.3M (+38.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDW closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $649.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.35B $333.5M $379.1M $353.3M $2.39B $649.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.35B $179.0M $282.5M $254.9M $2.07B $571.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.01B $95.6M $104.2M $104.2M — —

3. TDW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $87.33 (+2.40% 1D, market cap $4.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDW ranks #109 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TDW compare to TRMD and DHT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TDW carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, TRMD (TORM plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.42B) and DHT (DHT Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDW leads on earnings multiple (12.7x) while TDW leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDW?

Per TDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098222), Tidewater Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $333.5M in net income, and $353.3M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $649.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TDW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDW last traded at $87.33 (+2.40% on volume of 382,294 shares), positioning the stock +0.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.18) and +9.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($79.43). Across its 52-week range of $49.54 to $101.58, TDW sits at the 72.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($80.34 to $94.32).

TDW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TDW stock moving today?

Why TDW Stock surged +2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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