Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TDS / forecast

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Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$33.92 -1.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.75

Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.90B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TDS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (NYSE: TDS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $33.92 (-1.65% 1D, market cap $3.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TDS ranks #82 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TDS compare to PHI and TKC in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TDS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.9%. By comparison, PHI (PLDT Inc. Sponsored ADR) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.82B) and TKC (Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TDS leads on capital efficiency (-1.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDS?

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Per TDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001051512), Telephone and Data Systems Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (-9.0% YoY), $20.2M in net income, and $199.4M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.75 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 18.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TDS SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$34.79-4.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$33.26+7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$35.67-4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$33.92-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TDS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TDS currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.20) and Max Pain ($35.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $51.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TDS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TDS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $33.92: 294.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $24.67

$7,273

$-2,727 (-27.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $31.63

$9,325

$-675 (-6.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $51.58

$15,206

+$5,206 (+52.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$33	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$48	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$28	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TDS)

✓Walkthrough of TDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $34.49H $34.49L $33.92C $33.92VOL 1.14M

RES: $35.98SUP: $30.30SMA50: $35.20SMA200: $39.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TDS Butterfly Map → + Track TDS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDS)

Communication Services Rank #82 of 132 ⚔️ PHI vs TDS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TDS vs. PHI, TKC, TEO, LUMN)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) ranks #82 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #44 by equity capitalization ($3.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.9% ROIC and — gross margin. PHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with TDS at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TDS ACTIVE Telephone and Data Systems Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-1.9%	-1.65%	$3.90B	Benchmark Subject
PHI PLDT Inc. Sponsored ADR	D	47/100	—	—	—	+1.78%	$3.82B	/phi-vs-tds →
TKC Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS	D	44/100	—	—	—	-0.22%	$4.07B	/tkc-vs-tds →
TEO Telecom Argentina SA	D	45/100	—	—	—	-0.09%	$4.77B	/teo-vs-tds →
LUMN Lumen Technologies Inc.	D-	37/100	—	41.4%	-13.4%	-0.21%	$4.94B	/lumn-vs-tds →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001051512

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.07B (-9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.18B , and -12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.2M, operating cash flow of $589.9M, and free cash flow of $199.4M (-74.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDS closed FY2025 with $8.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.07B	$20.2M	$589.9M	$199.4M	$8.40B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.18B	-$26.5M	$1.15B	$780.4M	$13.68B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.23B	-$487.3M	$1.14B	$1.14B	—	—

3. TDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TDS compare to PHI and TKC in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDS?

Where is TDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDS last traded at $33.92 (-1.65% on volume of 1,144,169 shares), positioning the stock -3.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.20) and -14.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.54). Across its 52-week range of $30.71 to $49.12, TDS sits at the 17.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($30.87 to $36.97).

TDS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TDS's 12-month stock price target?

Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $31.63 (-6.8% from $33.92), with a bull-case target of $51.58 and a bear-case floor of $24.67.