Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TBI / earnings

III (70) HCKT (66) RCMT (76) HQI (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.1% Move

$9.76 +0.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.75

TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $297.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.75 (-0.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TBI SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 84% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.73 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$8.87-6.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$8.28+12.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.34+4.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.76-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TBI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TBI currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.42) and Max Pain ($10.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.1% Swing Band

±$0.89 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TBI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 38/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (38/100)Model Risk Weight (62/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-28	$1.62B	-$48.0M	-$73.7M	22.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-29	$1.57B	-$125.7M	-$41.2M	25.9%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$14.2M	$34.8M	22.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TBI)

✓Walkthrough of TBI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +77.78%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $9.73H $9.82L $9.60C $9.76VOL 167.3K

RES: $9.88SUP: $8.32SMA50: $9.42SMA200: $6.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TBI Butterfly Map → + Track TBI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #853 of 1011 ⚔️ III vs TBI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TBI vs. III, HCKT, RCMT, HQI)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) ranks #853 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #647 by equity capitalization ($297.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCMT leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while RCMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.0% ROIC and 27.5% gross margin. RCMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TBI at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TBI ACTIVE TrueBlue Inc.	D-	38/100	—	22.8%	-11.7%	+0.41%	$297.1M	Benchmark Subject
III Information Services Group Inc.	B-	70/100	31.5x	43.1%	11.2%	+0.33%	$294.4M	/iii-vs-tbi →
HCKT Hackett Group Inc .	C+	66/100	24.3x	38.3%	14.8%	+0.72%	$314.0M	/hckt-vs-tbi →
RCMT RCM Technologies Inc.	B+	76/100	15.6x	27.5%	46.0%	-0.69%	$255.3M	/rcmt-vs-tbi →
HQI HireQuest Inc.	C	63/100	35.8x	—	7.3%	-3.26%	$226.6M	/hqi-vs-tbi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000768899

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.62B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B ) , GAAP net income of -$48.0M, operating cash flow of -$58.0M, and free cash flow of -$73.7M (-78.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TBI closed FY2025 with $638.7M in total assets against $65.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.73, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.62B	-$48.0M	-$58.0M	-$73.7M	$638.7M	$65.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$1.57B	-$125.7M	-$17.1M	-$41.2M	$675.4M	$7.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$14.2M	$34.8M	$34.8M	—	—

3. TBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TrueBlue Inc. (NYSE: TBI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $9.76 (+0.41% 1D, market cap $297.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TBI ranks #853 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBI compare to III and HCKT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), TBI carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.7%. By comparison, III (Information Services Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $294.4M) and HCKT (Hackett Group Inc .) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $314.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCMT leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while RCMT leads on capital efficiency (46.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBI?

Per TBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000768899), TrueBlue Inc. generated $1.62B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), -$48.0M in net income, and -$73.7M in free cash flow against $638.7M in total assets and $65.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBI last traded at $9.76 (+0.41% on volume of 172,719 shares), positioning the stock +3.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.42) and +43.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.79). Across its 52-week range of $3.18 to $11.03, TBI sits at the 83.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($8.87 to $10.65).

TBI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TBI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, TrueBlue Inc. (TBI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is TBI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.1% event move for TBI, spanning a range between $8.87 and $10.65.

Direct Sub-Reports: TBI RQD Cockpit TBI 12M Forecast TBI Earnings & Move TBI Dividends & DRIP TBI Insiders & 13F TBI Whale Options TBI Profit Sankey TBI News & Why