MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why STRA Stock advanced +0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$77.81 +0.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.04
Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $1.73B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.04 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STRA SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 40% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$82.39-1.3% Next Q
80
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$81.33+0.5% Next Q
77
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$81.74-4.8% Next Q
75
CurrentGrade B$77.81+7% Hist 90D α
72
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, STRA faces multiple-compression risk if 13.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.79) or 200D SMA ($80.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($82.71) toward Bear Floor ($63.80).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why STRA Stock advanced +0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) advanced +0.34% to $77.81, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($69.7 – $89.73). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($69.7 – $89.73) with RSI-14 at 29 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $77.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $153.9M annual free cash flow.
Live STRA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (STRA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
STRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.75%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $78.19H $78.31L $72.61C $77.81VOL 348.9K
RES: $82.59SUP: $72.60SMA50: $80.79SMA200: $80.41
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
STRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRA)
Real Estate Rank #10 of 51
⚔️ PRDO vs STRA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STRA vs. PRDO, UTI, DAO, AFYA)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #13 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRDO leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while DAO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.5% ROIC and 44.3% gross margin. UTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with STRA at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRA
ACTIVE
Strategic Education Inc. | B | 72/100 | 13.6x | — | 9.1% | +0.34% | $1.73B | Benchmark Subject |
| PRDO Perdoceo Education Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 12.3x | — | 18.0% | -0.32% | $1.96B | /prdo-vs-stra → |
| UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc | B | 75/100 | 20.6x | — | 19.3% | +6.59% | $1.30B | /uti-vs-stra → |
| DAO Youdao Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share | D+ | 58/100 | — | 44.3% | 21.5% | +1.79% | $2.33B | /dao-vs-stra → |
| AFYA Afya Limited (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.68% | $953.2M | /afya-vs-stra → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001013934In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (+4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and +11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $126.6M, operating cash flow of $198.2M, and free cash flow of $153.9M (+19.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRA closed FY2025 with $2.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.76, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.27B | $126.6M | $198.2M | $153.9M | $2.04B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.22B | $112.7M | $169.3M | $128.8M | $2.05B | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.13B | $69.8M | $117.1M | $117.1M | — | — |
3. STRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs STRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Strategic Education Inc. (NASDAQ: STRA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $77.81 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STRA ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.
How does STRA compare to PRDO and UTI in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STRA carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $1.96B) and UTI (Universal Technical Institute Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 19.3%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while DAO leads on capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRA?
Per STRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001013934), Strategic Education Inc. generated $1.27B in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $126.6M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is STRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
STRA last traded at $77.81 (+0.34% on volume of 262,882 shares), positioning the stock -3.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($80.79) and -3.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.41). Across its 52-week range of $69.70 to $89.73, STRA sits at the 40.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($73.45 to $82.17).
STRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is STRA stock moving today?
Why STRA Stock advanced +0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.