Stock Ratings / Technology / STNE / forecast

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StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is STNE's 12-month stock price target?

StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.82 (-2.2% from $8.00), with a bull-case target of $20.43 and a bear-case floor of $6.1.

Q: Is STNE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates STNE D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

$8.00 -1.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.97

StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.97B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.97 (-0.39%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STNE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STNE SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.4% FCF Margin ($55.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$12.46-9.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$11.28+1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$11.48-30.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.00-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STNE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STNE currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.12) and Max Pain ($8.40) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STNE• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STNE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your STNE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.00: 1250.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.10

$7,625

$-2,375 (-23.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.82

$9,775

$-225 (-2.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.43

$25,538

+$15,538 (+155.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$8	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$19	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$7	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STNE)

✓Walkthrough of STNE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STNE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $7.81H $8.00L $7.69C $8.00VOL 8.05M

RES: $12.75SUP: $6.92SMA50: $10.12SMA200: $12.16

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STNE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STNE Butterfly Map → + Track STNE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STNE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STNE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STNE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STNE)

Technology Rank #354 of 714 ⚔️ GLOB vs STNE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (STNE vs. GLOB, FORTY, EVTC, INFQ)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE) ranks #354 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #293 by equity capitalization ($1.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EVTC leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while EVTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.8% ROIC and — gross margin. EVTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with STNE at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STNE ACTIVE StoneCo Ltd. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-1.11%	$1.97B	Benchmark Subject
GLOB Globant S.A.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+0.92%	$1.89B	/glob-vs-stne →
FORTY Formula Systems (1985) Ltd.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-4.68%	$1.87B	/forty-vs-stne →
EVTC Evertec Inc.	D+	58/100	12.8x	—	10.8%	-0.51%	$1.85B	/evtc-vs-stne →
INFQ Infleqtion Inc.	D-	38/100	—	36.6%	-26.6%	-2.08%	$2.13B	/infq-vs-stne →

2. STNE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE) operates in EDP Services (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $1.97B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. STNE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STNE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: STNE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $8.00 (-1.11% 1D, market cap $1.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, STNE ranks #354 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STNE compare to GLOB and FORTY in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), STNE carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GLOB (Globant S.A.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.89B) and FORTY (Formula Systems (1985) Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EVTC leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while EVTC leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STNE?

For StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #354 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STNE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STNE last traded at $8.00 (-1.11% on volume of 7,319,882 shares), positioning the stock -20.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.12) and -34.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.16). Across its 52-week range of $7.06 to $19.46, STNE sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($7.02 to $8.98).

STNE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is STNE's 12-month stock price target?

StoneCo Ltd. (Class A) (STNE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.82 (-2.2% from $8.00), with a bull-case target of $20.43 and a bear-case floor of $6.1.

Is STNE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates STNE D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: STNE RQD Cockpit STNE 12M Forecast STNE Earnings & Move STNE Dividends & DRIP STNE Insiders & 13F STNE Whale Options STNE Profit Sankey STNE News & Why