ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SPRY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.66 +0.27% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.65

ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SPRY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $364.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.65 (-0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (5)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$14 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SPRY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPRY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SPRY SCORES 27/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 3% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 29.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$4.23-5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$4.02+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$4.03-9.2% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$3.66-10.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (35) β†’ E (27)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPRY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SPRY currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.57) and Max Pain ($3.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.81.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPRYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSPRY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPRY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SPRY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SPRY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.69%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $3.62H $3.79L $3.34C $3.66VOL 1.75M
RES: $3.75SUP: $2.39SMA50: $4.57SMA200: $7.39
$11.40$9.21$7.03$4.85$2.66RES $3.75SUP $2.39$3.662026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPRY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPRY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPRY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPRY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPRY)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SPRY vs. RLMD, EBS, CYPH, GALT)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SPRY) ranks #978 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #496 by equity capitalization ($364.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EBS leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while EBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and 56.1% gross margin. EBS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with SPRY at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPRY ACTIVE
ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 27/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.27% $364.0M Benchmark Subject
RLMD
Relmada Therapeutics Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +2.69% $366.9M /rlmd-vs-spry β†’
EBS
Emergent BioSolutions Inc.
D+ 53/100 7.0x 56.1% 8.9% +1.83% $370.2M /ebs-vs-spry β†’
CYPH
Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.
D- 40/100 71.3x β€” -23.3% +2.16% $356.7M /cyph-vs-spry β†’
GALT
Galectin Therapeutics Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -0.56% $355.8M /galt-vs-spry β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001671858

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SPRY) reported GAAP revenue of $84.3M (-5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $89.1M , and +280826.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$171.3M, operating cash flow of -$170.9M, and free cash flow of -$171.2M (-1418.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPRY closed FY2025 with $327.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $84.3M -$171.3M -$170.9M -$171.2M $327.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $89.1M $8.0M $13.5M $13.0M $351.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $30.0K -$54.4M -$59.3M -$59.3M β€” β€”

3. SPRY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: SPRY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $3.66 (+0.27% 1D, market cap $364.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SPRY ranks #978 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPRY compare to RLMD and EBS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SPRY carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RLMD (Relmada Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $366.9M) and EBS (Emergent BioSolutions Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $370.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EBS leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while EBS leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPRY?

Per SPRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671858), ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $84.3M in revenue (-5.5% YoY), -$171.3M in net income, and -$171.2M in free cash flow against $327.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPRY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPRY last traded at $3.66 (+0.27% on volume of 2,044,382 shares), positioning the stock -19.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.57) and -50.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.39). Across its 52-week range of $3.34 to $13.15, SPRY sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($3.20 to $4.12).

SPRY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does SPRY pay a dividend and is it safe?

ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SPRY) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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