MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why SPNT Stock surged +2.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$25.95 +2.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.03
SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $3.01B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.03 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPNT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 93% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$24.96+0.6% Next Q
56
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$25.12+2.5% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$25.76+0.7% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade C$25.95+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPNT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, SPNT faces multiple-compression risk if 6.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.84) or 200D SMA ($23.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($26.65) toward Bear Floor ($20.79).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPNT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPNT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SPNT Stock surged +2.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) surged +2.69% to $25.95, trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($18.17 – $26.5). Solid steady margins (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 7x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($18.17 – $26.5) with RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $25.95 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $102.4M annual free cash flow.
Live SPNT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SPNT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SPNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.85%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $26.15H $26.26L $25.78C $25.95VOL 714.5K
RES: $26.51SUP: $24.67SMA50: $24.84SMA200: $23.03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SPNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPNT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPNT)
Financials Rank #346 of 1096
⚔️ AGO vs SPNT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SPNT vs. AGO, HG, SLDE, NMIH)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) ranks #346 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #367 by equity capitalization ($3.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGO leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while SLDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SLDE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with SPNT at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPNT
ACTIVE
SiriusPoint Ltd. | C | 64/100 | 6.6x | — | 18.6% | +2.69% | $3.01B | Benchmark Subject |
| AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. | C | 63/100 | 6.2x | — | 8.9% | +2.25% | $3.12B | /ago-vs-spnt → |
| HG Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | -0.72% | $2.86B | /hg-vs-spnt → |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings Inc. | A- | 82/100 | 7.2x | — | 39.9% | +1.29% | $3.22B | /slde-vs-spnt → |
| NMIH NMI Holdings Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 8.4x | — | 15.0% | +2.54% | $3.25B | /nmih-vs-spnt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001576018In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.21B (+23.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.60B , and +17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $460.0M, operating cash flow of $102.4M, and free cash flow of $102.4M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPNT closed FY2025 with $12.57B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.21B | $460.0M | $102.4M | $102.4M | $12.57B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.60B | $200.0M | $74.7M | $74.7M | $12.52B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.74B | $355.0M | $581.3M | $581.3M | — | — |
3. SPNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SPNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, SiriusPoint Ltd. (NYSE: SPNT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $25.95 (+2.69% 1D, market cap $3.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SPNT ranks #346 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SPNT compare to AGO and HG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), SPNT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, AGO (Assured Guaranty Ltd.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.12B) and HG (Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGO leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while SLDE leads on capital efficiency (39.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPNT?
Per SPNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576018), SiriusPoint Ltd. generated $3.21B in revenue (+23.1% YoY), $460.0M in net income, and $102.4M in free cash flow against $12.57B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SPNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SPNT last traded at $25.95 (+2.69% on volume of 875,280 shares), positioning the stock +4.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.84) and +12.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.03). Across its 52-week range of $18.17 to $26.50, SPNT sits at the 93.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($24.68 to $27.22).
SPNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SPNT stock moving today?
Why SPNT Stock surged +2.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 7x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.