MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why SOWG Stock dropped -4.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.14 -4.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12
Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $43.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (-1.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOWG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SOWG SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.24-8% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$2.06-9.2% Next Q
40
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.87+14.4% Next Q
38
CurrentGrade D-$2.14-8.5% Hist 90D α
35
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SOWG Turnaround Squeeze
While SOWG currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.59) and Max Pain ($2.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.70.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOWG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SOWG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SOWG Stock dropped -4.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) dropped -4.89% to $2.14, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.04 – $15.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.04 – $15.9) with RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SOWG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOWG)
- ✓Walkthrough of SOWG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SOWG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.88%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.19H $2.22L $2.09C $2.14VOL 8.7K
RES: $4.05SUP: $1.02SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $4.11
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SOWG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOWG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOWG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOWG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOWG)
Consumer Staples Rank #128 of 146
⚔️ BOF vs SOWG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SOWG vs. BOF, LSF, JVA, BRLS)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #110 by equity capitalization ($43.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JVA leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while JVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. JVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with SOWG at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOWG
ACTIVE
Sow Good Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.89% | $43.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| BOF BranchOut Food Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 14.8% | -35.0% | -2.25% | $33.4M | /bof-vs-sowg → |
| LSF Laird Superfood Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 37.9% | -35.0% | -0.74% | $29.9M | /lsf-vs-sowg → |
| JVA Coffee Holding Co. Inc. | D | 46/100 | 20.8x | 16.0% | 6.5% | +1.59% | $29.2M | /jva-vs-sowg → |
| BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | 11.2% | -35.0% | +1.87% | $23.4M | /brls-vs-sowg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001490161In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$40.6M, operating cash flow of -$4.3M, and free cash flow of -$4.3M (+54.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOWG closed FY2025 with $3.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$40.6M | -$4.3M | -$4.3M | $3.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$3.7M | -$9.4M | -$9.4M | $54.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $16.1M | -$3.1M | -$4.8M | -$4.8M | — | — |
3. SOWG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SOWG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sow Good Inc. (NASDAQ: SOWG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $2.14 (-4.89% 1D, market cap $43.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SOWG ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SOWG compare to BOF and LSF in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), SOWG carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BOF (BranchOut Food Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $33.4M) and LSF (Laird Superfood Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOWG?
Per SOWG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001490161), Sow Good Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$40.6M in net income, and -$4.3M in free cash flow against $3.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SOWG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SOWG last traded at $2.14 (-4.89% on volume of 16,049 shares), positioning the stock -17.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -47.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.11). Across its 52-week range of $1.04 to $15.90, SOWG sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.87 to $2.41).
SOWG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SOWG stock moving today?
Why SOWG Stock dropped -4.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.