Stock Ratings / Technology / SHLS / financials

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Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$7.55 -0.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.53

Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.53 (-0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SHLS SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$8.74-18% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$7.17+5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$7.58-0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$7.55-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHLS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SHLS currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.56) and Max Pain ($7.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SHLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SHLS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $488.9M

FY24

Rev $399.2M

FY25

Rev $475.3M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$475.3M	35%	11.9%	$33.6M	-$16.0M	7.5%
FY 2024	$399.2M	35.6%	12.8%	$24.1M	$72.0M	6%
FY 2023	$488.9M	35%	16.2%	$40.0M	$92.0M	7.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHLS)

✓Walkthrough of SHLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SHLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $7.20H $7.55L $6.98C $7.55VOL 4.25M

RES: $8.19SUP: $7.07SMA50: $7.56SMA200: $8.47

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SHLS Butterfly Map → + Track SHLS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHLS)

Technology Rank #517 of 714 ⚔️ AMBQ vs SHLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SHLS vs. AMBQ, WOLF, ICHR, AIP)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) ranks #517 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #338 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHLS leads on earnings valuation at 37.8x trailing P/E, while SHLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 35.0% gross margin. ICHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with SHLS at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SHLS ACTIVE Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	37.8x	35.0%	7.5%	-0.13%	$1.27B	Benchmark Subject
AMBQ Ambiq Micro Inc.	D-	38/100	—	44.3%	-35.0%	-1.93%	$1.30B	/ambq-vs-shls →
WOLF Wolfspeed Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	0.7%	-6.34%	$1.32B	/wolf-vs-shls →
ICHR Ichor Holdings	D	46/100	—	9.3%	-4.5%	-1.51%	$1.59B	/ichr-vs-shls →
AIP Arteris Inc.	D-	38/100	—	90.2%	-35.0%	-3.92%	$1.01B	/aip-vs-shls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001831651

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) reported GAAP revenue of $475.3M (+19.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $399.2M , and -2.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.6M, operating cash flow of $17.1M, and free cash flow of -$16.0M (-122.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHLS closed FY2025 with $904.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$475.3M	$33.6M	$17.1M	-$16.0M	$904.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$399.2M	$24.1M	$80.4M	$72.0M	$793.1M	$141.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$488.9M	$40.0M	$92.0M	$92.0M	—	—

3. SHLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $7.55 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SHLS ranks #517 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHLS compare to AMBQ and WOLF in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), SHLS carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 35.0%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, AMBQ (Ambiq Micro Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.30B) and WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHLS?

Per SHLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831651), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) generated $475.3M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $33.6M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $904.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHLS last traded at $7.55 (-0.13% on volume of 3,326,088 shares), positioning the stock -0.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.56) and -10.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.47). Across its 52-week range of $5.43 to $13.18, SHLS sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($6.61 to $8.49).

SHLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SHLS converted $475.3M of revenue into a 35% gross margin, 11.9% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: SHLS RQD Cockpit SHLS 12M Forecast SHLS Earnings & Move SHLS Dividends & DRIP SHLS Insiders & 13F SHLS Whale Options SHLS Profit Sankey SHLS News & Why