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Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.57 -2.65% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.55

Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 16/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (16/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $106.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.55 (-0.67%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (16/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-19.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (16/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SHIM SCORES 16/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (38% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.13-23% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.41-3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.32+10.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.57-12.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (24) → E (16)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHIM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SHIM currently carries a cautious 16/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.14) and Max Pain ($2.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SHIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SHIM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.57: 3891.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.62

$6,304

$-3,696 (-37.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.08

$8,093

$-1,907 (-19.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.10

$27,626

+$17,626 (+176.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHIM)

✓Walkthrough of SHIM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SHIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $2.60H $2.60L $2.51C $2.57VOL 37.3K

RES: $2.86SUP: $2.00SMA50: $3.14SMA200: $3.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SHIM Butterfly Map → + Track SHIM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHIM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHIM)

Industrials Rank #485 of 485 ⚔️ CVU vs SHIM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SHIM vs. CVU, MNTS, SLND, LEGO)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) ranks #485 by composite RQD confidence (16/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($106.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHIM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.5% ROIC and 15.2% gross margin. LEGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with SHIM at 16/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SHIM ACTIVE Shimmick Corporation	E	16/100	—	6.8%	-35.0%	-2.65%	$106.2M	Benchmark Subject
CVU CPI Aerostructures Inc.	E	24/100	—	15.2%	-0.5%	+1.02%	$65.7M	/cvu-vs-shim →
MNTS Momentus Inc. (Class A)	E	33/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	+0.47%	$46.8M	/mnts-vs-shim →
SLND Southland Holdings Inc.	D-	42/100	—	-20.1%	-35.0%	-0.70%	$44.0M	/slnd-vs-shim →
LEGO Legato Merger Corp. IV	D	50/100	—	—	—	+0.10%	$302.8M	/lego-vs-shim →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001887944

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) reported GAAP revenue of $492.8M (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $480.2M , and -22.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$25.6M, operating cash flow of -$65.1M, and free cash flow of -$71.5M (-125.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHIM closed FY2025 with $218.8M in total assets against $60.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.41, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$492.8M	-$25.6M	-$65.1M	-$71.5M	$218.8M	$60.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-03	$480.2M	-$124.7M	-$21.3M	-$31.7M	$233.9M	$9.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$632.8M	-$2.5M	-$88.1M	-$88.1M	—	—

3. SHIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Shimmick Corporation (NASDAQ: SHIM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $2.57 (-2.65% 1D, market cap $106.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SHIM ranks #485 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHIM compare to CVU and MNTS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), SHIM carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CVU (CPI Aerostructures Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $65.7M) and MNTS (Momentus Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHIM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVU leads on capital efficiency (-0.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHIM?

Per SHIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001887944), Shimmick Corporation generated $492.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$25.6M in net income, and -$71.5M in free cash flow against $218.8M in total assets and $60.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHIM last traded at $2.57 (-2.65% on volume of 69,547 shares), positioning the stock -18.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.14) and -32.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.95 to $6.76, SHIM sits at the 12.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.25 to $2.89).

SHIM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SHIM's 12-month stock price target?

Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.08 (-19.1% from $2.57), with a bull-case target of $7.1 and a bear-case floor of $1.62.

Is SHIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SHIM E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 16/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SHIM RQD Cockpit SHIM 12M Forecast SHIM Earnings & Move SHIM Dividends & DRIP SHIM Insiders & 13F SHIM Whale Options SHIM Profit Sankey SHIM News & Why