Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SHEN / earnings

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Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11% Move

$10.13 +3.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.17

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $560.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.17 (+0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SHEN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$10.41-1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$10.30+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$10.35-2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.13-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SHEN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.36) and Max Pain ($10.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SHEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11% Swing Band

±$1.11 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SHEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.1%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$357.9M	-$32.9M	-$257.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$328.1M	$193.8M	-$256.5M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$269.1M	$8.0M	$113.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHEN)

✓Walkthrough of SHEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SHEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $10.23H $10.43L $10.08C $10.13VOL 689.5K

RES: $11.16SUP: $9.02SMA50: $11.36SMA200: $13.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SHEN Butterfly Map → + Track SHEN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHEN)

Communication Services Rank #86 of 132 ⚔️ ATNI vs SHEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SHEN vs. ATNI, AIOT, TBCH, TTGT)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) ranks #86 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #76 by equity capitalization ($560.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIOT leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while TBCH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and 37.3% gross margin. TBCH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with SHEN at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SHEN ACTIVE Shenandoah Telecommunications Co	D	48/100	—	—	-1.2%	+3.37%	$560.9M	Benchmark Subject
ATNI ATN International Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	2.5%	+0.27%	$398.6M	/atni-vs-shen →
AIOT PowerFleet Inc.	D+	57/100	18.7x	55.5%	2.3%	+5.93%	$383.9M	/aiot-vs-shen →
TBCH Turtle Beach Corporation	C+	66/100	18.8x	37.3%	13.8%	-0.18%	$295.3M	/tbch-vs-shen →
TTGT TechTarget Inc.	D	49/100	—	60.2%	-35.0%	+5.14%	$281.4M	/ttgt-vs-shen →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000354963

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) reported GAAP revenue of $357.9M (+9.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $328.1M , and +33.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$32.9M, operating cash flow of $101.0M, and free cash flow of -$257.9M (-0.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHEN closed FY2025 with $1.91B in total assets against $628.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$357.9M	-$32.9M	$101.0M	-$257.9M	$1.91B	$628.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$328.1M	$193.8M	$62.6M	-$256.5M	$1.74B	$407.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$269.1M	$8.0M	$113.8M	$113.8M	—	—

3. SHEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (NASDAQ: SHEN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $10.13 (+3.37% 1D, market cap $560.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SHEN ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHEN compare to ATNI and AIOT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), SHEN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.2%. By comparison, ATNI (ATN International Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $398.6M) and AIOT (PowerFleet Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 18.7x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $383.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIOT leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while TBCH leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHEN?

Per SHEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000354963), Shenandoah Telecommunications Co generated $357.9M in revenue (+9.1% YoY), -$32.9M in net income, and -$257.9M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $628.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHEN last traded at $10.13 (+3.37% on volume of 707,529 shares), positioning the stock -10.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.36) and -24.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.45). Across its 52-week range of $9.13 to $17.35, SHEN sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($9.02 to $11.24).

SHEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SHEN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SHEN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11% event move for SHEN, spanning a range between $9.02 and $11.24.

Direct Sub-Reports: SHEN RQD Cockpit SHEN 12M Forecast SHEN Earnings & Move SHEN Dividends & DRIP SHEN Insiders & 13F SHEN Whale Options SHEN Profit Sankey SHEN News & Why