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Why SFHG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.04 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.04
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share (SFHG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $8.3M
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Is SFHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: SFHG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.04 (0.00% 1D, market cap $8.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFHG ranks #945 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SFHG compare to CRE and MGIH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), SFHG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CRE (Cre8 Enterprise Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $5.2M) and MGIH (Millennium Group International Holdings Limited) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRE leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CRE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFHG?
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Per SFHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001926792), Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share generated $21.8M in revenue (+10.4% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $22.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.04 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFHG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SFHG SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (41% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (28% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.4% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.13-2.3% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.08-0.5% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.07-1.4% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade E$2.04-9.2% Hist 90D α
32
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SFHG Turnaround Squeeze
While SFHG currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.20) and Max Pain ($2.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.20.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFHG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SFHG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SFHG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share (SFHG) slipped 0.00% to $2.04, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($1.6 – $4.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($1.6 – $4.95) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.4% around $2.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 20.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SFHG Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SFHG)
- ✓Walkthrough of SFHG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SFHG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.31%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.04H $2.09L $2.00C $2.04VOL 7.6K
RES: $2.40SUP: $2.00SMA50: $2.20SMA200: $2.51
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SFHG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFHG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFHG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFHG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFHG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #945 of 1011
⚔️ CRE vs SFHG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SFHG vs. CRE, MGIH, PMTS, QUAD)
Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share (SFHG) ranks #945 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #942 by equity capitalization ($8.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRE leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while CRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 41.9% gross margin. PMTS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with SFHG at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFHG
ACTIVE
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share | E | 32/100 | — | 20.6% | -35.0% | 0.00% | $8.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| CRE Cre8 Enterprise Limited (Class A) | C+ | 69/100 | 7.6x | 41.9% | 85.0% | +4.06% | $5.2M | /cre-vs-sfhg → |
| MGIH Millennium Group International Holdings Limited | D- | 37/100 | — | 18.5% | — | +1.50% | $15.2M | /mgih-vs-sfhg → |
| PMTS CPI Card Group Inc. | B | 75/100 | 20.3x | 31.3% | 17.5% | +2.14% | $304.1M | /pmts-vs-sfhg → |
| QUAD Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) | D | 47/100 | 14.7x | 21.6% | 19.7% | -18.08% | $396.3M | /quad-vs-sfhg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001926792In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share (SFHG) reported GAAP revenue of $21.8M (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$2.5M, operating cash flow of -$2.7M, and free cash flow of -$3.2M (-109.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFHG closed FY2025 with $22.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.83, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $21.8M | -$2.5M | -$2.7M | -$3.2M | $22.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $19.8M | -$342.5K | -$1.5M | -$1.5M | $21.1M | — |
3. SFHG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SFHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: SFHG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.04 (0.00% 1D, market cap $8.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFHG ranks #945 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SFHG compare to CRE and MGIH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), SFHG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CRE (Cre8 Enterprise Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $5.2M) and MGIH (Millennium Group International Holdings Limited) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRE leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CRE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFHG?
Per SFHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001926792), Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share generated $21.8M in revenue (+10.4% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $22.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SFHG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SFHG last traded at $2.04 (0.00% on volume of 6,365 shares), positioning the stock -7.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.20) and -18.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.51). Across its 52-week range of $1.60 to $4.95, SFHG sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($1.93 to $2.15).
SFHG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SFHG stock moving today?
Why SFHG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.