Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.6% Move

$10.35 -0.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.36

Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $122.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.36 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 11.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$17 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE SAMG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SAMG SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.9% FCF Margin ($15.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$10.23+3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$10.62-4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$10.12+2.3% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$10.35+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SAMG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, SAMG faces multiple-compression risk if 15.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.16) or 200D SMA ($11.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.00) toward Bear Floor ($8.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SAMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.6% Swing Band

±$0.89 Expected Swing
$9.46 (-8.6%)Spot $10.35$11.24 (+8.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SAMG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $0.68 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.3%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$125.3M$8.1M$15.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$123.7M$15.7M$19.9M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$117.4M$15.2M$21.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SAMG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SAMG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SAMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $11.22H $11.41L $10.35C $10.35VOL 85.2K
RES: $11.09SUP: $8.78SMA50: $10.16SMA200: $11.98
$15.38$13.68$11.97$10.27$8.56RES $11.09SUP $8.78$10.352026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAMG)

Financials Rank #104 of 1096 ⚔️ BVC vs SAMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SAMG vs. BVC, GGZ, RILY, PAAC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #941 by equity capitalization ($122.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAMG leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while SAMG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SAMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SAMG ACTIVE
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A)
B 72/100 15.2x — 85.0% -0.86% $122.6M Benchmark Subject
BVC
BitVentures Limited
D 44/100 — — — +1.65% $125.4M /bvc-vs-samg →
GGZ
Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of
D+ 57/100 — — — +0.10% $133.0M /ggz-vs-samg →
RILY
BRC Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — 85.0% +4.49% $145.2M /rily-vs-samg →
PAAC
Proem Acquisition Corp I
D 49/100 — — — 0.00% $177.3M /paac-vs-samg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001549966

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) reported GAAP revenue of $125.3M (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $123.7M , and +6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.1M, operating cash flow of $18.6M, and free cash flow of $15.0M (-24.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAMG closed FY2025 with $166.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $125.3M $8.1M $18.6M $15.0M $166.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $123.7M $15.7M $21.6M $19.9M $194.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $117.4M $15.2M $21.0M $21.0M — —

3. SAMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SAMG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $10.35 (-0.86% 1D, market cap $122.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SAMG ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAMG compare to BVC and GGZ in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), SAMG carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, BVC (BitVentures Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $125.4M) and GGZ (Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $133.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAMG leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while SAMG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAMG?

Per SAMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001549966), Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) generated $125.3M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $15.0M in free cash flow against $166.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAMG last traded at $10.35 (-0.86% on volume of 99,661 shares), positioning the stock +1.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.16) and -13.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.98). Across its 52-week range of $9.09 to $16.16, SAMG sits at the 17.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($9.46 to $11.24).

SAMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SAMG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SAMG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.6% event move for SAMG, spanning a range between $9.46 and $11.24.

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