Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / SAM / earnings

CCU (58) COCO (56) FIZZ (73) WEST (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Boston Beer Company Inc. (SAM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

$198.47 +0.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $198.99

Boston Beer Company Inc. (SAM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (49% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $198.99 (+0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SAM SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$170.51+6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$180.82+11.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$202.28-1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$198.47+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SAM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, SAM faces multiple-compression risk if 18.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 46.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($177.09) or 200D SMA ($199.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($209.19) toward Bear Floor ($162.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 26, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$13.30 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SAM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $10.78 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.4%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-27	$1.96B	$109.5M	$215.6M	48.5%
FY 2024	2024-12-28	$2.01B	$59.7M	$172.6M	44.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-30	$2.01B	$76.3M	$265.2M	48.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SAM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SAM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.27%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $202.1H $204.3L $198.5C $198.5VOL 193.4K

RES: $189.0SUP: $161.2SMA50: $177.1SMA200: $199.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SAM Butterfly Map → + Track SAM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAM)

Consumer Staples Rank #13 of 146 ⚔️ CCU vs SAM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SAM vs. CCU, COCO, FIZZ, WEST)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Boston Beer Company Inc. (SAM) ranks #13 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #56 by equity capitalization ($2.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. FIZZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with SAM at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SAM ACTIVE Boston Beer Company Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	48.5%	18.4%	+0.13%	$2.01B	Benchmark Subject
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.88%	$1.93B	/ccu-vs-sam →
COCO The Vita Coco Company Inc.	D+	56/100	44.2x	36.5%	40.6%	-0.18%	$3.21B	/coco-vs-sam →
FIZZ National Beverage Corp.	B	73/100	17.9x	37.0%	65.6%	+2.19%	$3.28B	/fizz-vs-sam →
WEST Westrock Coffee Company	D-	37/100	—	12.7%	-11.8%	+2.79%	$994.2M	/west-vs-sam →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000949870

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Boston Beer Company Inc. (SAM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.96B (-2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.01B , and -2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $109.5M, operating cash flow of $270.2M, and free cash flow of $215.6M (+24.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAM closed FY2025 with $1.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-27	$1.96B	$109.5M	$270.2M	$215.6M	$1.19B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$2.01B	$59.7M	$248.9M	$172.6M	$1.25B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$2.01B	$76.3M	$265.2M	$265.2M	—	—

3. SAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Boston Beer Company Inc. (NYSE: SAM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $198.47 (+0.13% 1D, market cap $2.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SAM ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAM compare to CCU and COCO in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), SAM carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.4x, gross margin of 48.5%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, CCU (Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.93B) and COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAM?

Per SAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000949870), Boston Beer Company Inc. generated $1.96B in revenue (-2.4% YoY), $109.5M in net income, and $215.6M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAM last traded at $198.47 (+0.13% on volume of 184,457 shares), positioning the stock +12.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($177.09) and -0.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($199.01). Across its 52-week range of $158.68 to $264.46, SAM sits at the 37.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($185.17 to $211.77).

SAM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SAM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Boston Beer Company Inc. (SAM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 26, 2026.

How much is SAM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.7% event move for SAM, spanning a range between $185.17 and $211.77.

Direct Sub-Reports: SAM RQD Cockpit SAM 12M Forecast SAM Earnings & Move SAM Dividends & DRIP SAM Insiders & 13F SAM Whale Options SAM Profit Sankey SAM News & Why