MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Seabridge Gold: KSM's Net Value Is 13x The Market CapSeabridge Gold offers major upside as KSMâs value soars with gold, copper, and silver prices.
Why SA Stock dropped -3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$25.78 -3.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.57
Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.78B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.57 (-0.81%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SA SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.9% FCF Margin ($77.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$28.08-7.4% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$26.00-6.2% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$24.40+5.7% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D$25.78-5.4% Hist 90D α
49
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SA Turnaround Squeeze
While SA currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.02) and Max Pain ($27.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $42.06.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SA Stock dropped -3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) dropped -3.45% to $25.78, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($22 – $40.06). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($22 – $40.06) with RSI-14 at 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.7% around $25.78 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $77.9M annual free cash flow.
Live SA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Canadian Stock Market Today: TSX Futures Steady On Oil Support And BoC Rate FocusThe Morning Bull - Canadian Market Morning Update Tuesday, 27 Oct 2026 Canadian stocks are poised for a slightly cautious open, with attention focused on energy markets. The key driver today is the US Strategic Petroleum
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
What Does Seabridge Gold (TSX:SEA) Acquiring Slaughterhouse Mean For Investors?Seabridge Gold (TSX:SEA) has agreed to acquire a 100% interest in the Slaughterhouse copper and gold project in southern Wyoming from Orogen Royalties. The purchase agreement covers both the Slaughterhouse property and a
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Goldstorm Metals Discovers Gold-Silver Mineralization over a 407.55-Meter (m) Length in Preliminary Drilling at the Crown Property on Trend with KSM and Treaty Creek Deposits, in British Columbia's Golden Triangle- Highlights include 15.0 m grading 2.89 g/t gold equivalent (AuEQ) within 25.5 m grading 1.97 g/t AuEQ, all within broader mineralized intervals of 300 m grading 0.43 g/t AuEQ and 407.55 m grading 0.39 g/t AuEQVancouver
MARKET WIREYahoo • 12d ago
SA Expands U.S. Gold Search With Slaughterhouse Project AcquisitionSeabridge Gold is acquiring Wyoming's Slaughterhouse Project for $300,000 upfront, targeting potential gold and critical minerals discoveries using modern exploration technologies.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SA)
- ✓Walkthrough of SA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.76%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $24.69H $25.78L $23.52C $25.78VOL 802.0K
RES: $34.59SUP: $23.26SMA50: $29.02SMA200: $29.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SA)
Materials Rank #169 of 270
⚔️ FSM vs SA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SA vs. FSM, NG, TGB, EXK)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #97 by equity capitalization ($2.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EXK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with SA at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA
ACTIVE
Seabridge Gold Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.45% | $2.78B | Benchmark Subject |
| FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.90% | $2.85B | /fsm-vs-sa → |
| NG Novagold Resources Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | — | -27.6% | -1.44% | $2.71B | /ng-vs-sa → |
| TGB Trekor Metals Limited | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.72% | $2.88B | /tgb-vs-sa → |
| EXK Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -2.63% | $2.30B | /exk-vs-sa → |
2. SA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTSeabridge Gold Inc. (SA) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.78B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. SA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE: SA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $25.78 (-3.45% 1D, market cap $2.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SA ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SA compare to FSM and NG in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), SA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B) and NG (Novagold Resources Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.6%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SA?
For Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #169 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SA last traded at $25.78 (-3.45% on volume of 415,455 shares), positioning the stock -11.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.02) and -13.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.93). Across its 52-week range of $22.00 to $40.06, SA sits at the 20.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($23.54 to $28.02).
SA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SA stock moving today?
Why SA Stock dropped -3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.