Stock Ratings / Financials / RRBI / options

CCB (54) ACNB (72) WCCB (51) CARE (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$102.10 +0.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.03

Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $672.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.03 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RRBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RRBI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($42.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$100.27+1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$101.27+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$103.27-1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$102.10+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RRBI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, RRBI faces multiple-compression risk if 15.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($101.60) or 200D SMA ($94.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($104.40) toward Bear Floor ($81.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RRBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RRBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RRBI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RRBI.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RRBI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RRBI
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RRBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.53%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $102.6H $105.0L $102.1C $102.1VOL 80.8K

RES: $106.3SUP: $99.21SMA50: $101.6SMA200: $94.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RRBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RRBI Butterfly Map → + Track RRBI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRBI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RRBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RRBI)

Financials Rank #393 of 1096 ⚔️ CCB vs RRBI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RRBI vs. CCB, ACNB, WCCB, CARE)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) ranks #393 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #638 by equity capitalization ($672.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCB leads on earnings valuation at 14.2x trailing P/E, while RRBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACNB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with RRBI at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RRBI ACTIVE Red River Bancshares Inc.	C	63/100	15.7x	—	11.7%	+0.69%	$672.2M	Benchmark Subject
CCB Coastal Financial Corporation	D+	54/100	14.2x	—	9.6%	-7.36%	$667.4M	/ccb-vs-rrbi →
ACNB ACNB Corporation	B	72/100	18.0x	—	8.8%	+0.72%	$667.0M	/acnb-vs-rrbi →
WCCB West Coast Community Bancorp	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.14%	$665.8M	/wccb-vs-rrbi →
CARE Carter Bankshares Inc.	C	64/100	21.1x	—	7.5%	-1.09%	$662.5M	/care-vs-rrbi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001071236

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $42.8M, operating cash flow of $44.8M, and free cash flow of $42.2M (+26.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRBI closed FY2025 with $3.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$42.8M	$44.8M	$42.2M	$3.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$34.2M	$38.3M	$33.4M	$3.15B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$34.9M	$40.1M	$40.1M	—	—

3. RRBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RRBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Red River Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ: RRBI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $102.10 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $672.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RRBI ranks #393 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RRBI compare to CCB and ACNB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), RRBI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, CCB (Coastal Financial Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $667.4M) and ACNB (ACNB Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $667.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCB leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while RRBI leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRBI?

Per RRBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001071236), Red River Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $42.8M in net income, and $42.2M in free cash flow against $3.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RRBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RRBI last traded at $102.10 (+0.69% on volume of 58,959 shares), positioning the stock +0.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($101.60) and +8.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($94.20). Across its 52-week range of $64.52 to $104.95, RRBI sits at the 93.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($97.71 to $106.49).

RRBI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RRBI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RRBI.

Direct Sub-Reports: RRBI RQD Cockpit RRBI 12M Forecast RRBI Earnings & Move RRBI Dividends & DRIP RRBI Insiders & 13F RRBI Whale Options RRBI Profit Sankey RRBI News & Why