CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 22h ago
Rogers Corporation: The Turnaround Is Now Real, The Valuation Still Isn'tRogers Corporation (ROG) delivered strong 3Q results, with revenue up nearly double digits and EPS up over 54% YoY.
Why ROG Stock slipped -0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$140.33 -0.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $139.98
Rogers Corporation (ROG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.50B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $139.98 (-0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ROG SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 69% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.8% FCF Margin ($71.1M FCF) & 31.7% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$147.41-9.5% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$133.37-6.3% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$124.96+12.3% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$140.33-1.1% Hist 90D α
52
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ROG Turnaround Squeeze
While ROG currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($135.95) and Max Pain ($147.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $177.45.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ROG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ROG Stock slipped -0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Rogers Corporation (ROG) slipped -0.33% to $140.33, trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($75.14 – $169). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($75.14 – $169) with RSI-14 at 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.7% around $140.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 31.7% gross margin and $71.1M annual free cash flow.
Live ROG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
ROG Q3 deep dive: margin expansion and design wins drive positive outlookEngineered materials manufacturer Rogers (NYSE:ROG) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, but sales rose 9.3% year on year to $236.1 million. On the other hand, the company expects next quarter’s re
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Shares of broader software stocks are trading lower amid broader market weakness as Treasury yields rise, weighing on tech stocks.CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
5 insightful analyst questions from Rogers’s Q3 earnings callRogers delivered strong year-over-year growth in the third quarter, with management attributing the performance to broad-based sales increases across all end markets and notable improvements in profitability. CEO Ali El-
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Rogers (ROG) Q3 Earnings Highlight Margin Strength Despite Ceramic DragRogers came into this Q3 2026 earnings report with the stock near record territory after a strong 12 month run, yet the immediate reaction was muted. Shares slipped about 0.3% today, which hardly matches what just printe
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 3d ago
Rogers Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-10-29. The following slide deck was published by Rogers Corporation in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Rogers (ROG) stock trades up, here is whyShares of engineered materials manufacturer Rogers (NYSE:ROG) jumped 6.1% in the afternoon session after the company reported third-quarter 2026 results with higher net sales, wider margins, and adjusted earnings above a
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Rogers Corp.: Q3 Earnings Snapshot(ROG) on Tuesday reported third-quarter net income of $22.The Chandler, Arizona-based company said it had net income of $1.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Why Rogers Stock Popped 13% at the Open Before Cooling OffWhy did Rogers stock jump at the opening bell? The answer lies in a huge profit margin expansion and a quiet AI tailwind.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Rogers (ROG) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After Its 56% ReboundRogers has delivered a powerful share price recovery over the past year, yet the key issue for anyone looking at the stock today is whether that move lines up with what its earnings can reasonably support. After such a s
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ROG)
- ✓Walkthrough of ROG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ROG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.37%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $135.0H $140.3L $131.4C $140.3VOL 175.3K
RES: $165.0SUP: $124.5SMA50: $136.0SMA200: $127.8
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ROG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROG)
Materials Rank #135 of 270
⚔️ IOSP vs ROG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ROG vs. IOSP, NGVT, KWR, WDFC)
Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rogers Corporation (ROG) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #104 by equity capitalization ($2.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ROG at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROG
ACTIVE
Rogers Corporation | D+ | 52/100 | — | 31.7% | -3.6% | -0.33% | $2.50B | Benchmark Subject |
| IOSP Innospec Inc. | B- | 70/100 | — | 27.7% | 9.9% | +0.71% | $2.50B | /iosp-vs-rog → |
| NGVT Ingevity Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | — | 39.5% | 85.0% | +1.62% | $2.59B | /ngvt-vs-rog → |
| KWR Quaker Houghton | D+ | 56/100 | — | 36.0% | 2.1% | +0.61% | $2.72B | /kwr-vs-rog → |
| WDFC WD-40 Company | B | 75/100 | 32.3x | 55.1% | 27.2% | +2.49% | $2.94B | /wdfc-vs-rog → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000084748In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rogers Corporation (ROG) reported GAAP revenue of $810.8M (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $830.1M , and -10.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.8M, operating cash flow of $101.2M, and free cash flow of $71.1M (+0.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROG closed FY2025 with $1.43B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $810.8M | -$61.8M | $101.2M | $71.1M | $1.43B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $830.1M | $26.1M | $127.1M | $71.0M | $1.48B | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $908.4M | $56.6M | $131.4M | $131.4M | — | — |
3. ROG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ROG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Rogers Corporation (NYSE: ROG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $140.33 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $2.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ROG ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ROG compare to IOSP and NGVT in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ROG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.7%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, IOSP (Innospec Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.50B) and NGVT (Ingevity Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROG?
Per ROG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000084748), Rogers Corporation generated $810.8M in revenue (-2.3% YoY), -$61.8M in net income, and $71.1M in free cash flow against $1.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ROG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ROG last traded at $140.33 (-0.33% on volume of 203,834 shares), positioning the stock +3.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($135.95) and +9.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($127.81). Across its 52-week range of $75.14 to $169.00, ROG sits at the 69.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($128.12 to $152.54).
ROG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ROG stock moving today?
Why ROG Stock slipped -0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.