REGENXBIO Inc. (RGNX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.41 +2.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.43

REGENXBIO Inc. (RGNX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $489.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.43 (+0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$17 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE RGNX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGNX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RGNX SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 18% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$8.07-14.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$6.93-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$6.68+10.9% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$7.41-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RGNX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RGNX currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.98) and Max Pain ($7.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGNX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RGNX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RGNX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RGNX.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGNX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RGNX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RGNX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.39%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $7.38H $7.53L $7.00C $7.41VOL 1.06M
RES: $7.15SUP: $6.37SMA50: $7.98SMA200: $9.17
$16.61$13.59$10.56$7.54$4.51RES $7.15SUP $6.37$7.412026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGNX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +104.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGNX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGNX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGNX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGNX)

Health Care Rank #669 of 1016 ⚔️ SRZN vs RGNX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RGNX vs. SRZN, EDIT, PROK, VALN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, REGENXBIO Inc. (RGNX) ranks #669 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #457 by equity capitalization ($489.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGNX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RGNX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VALN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with RGNX at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RGNX ACTIVE
REGENXBIO Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% +2.35% $489.2M Benchmark Subject
SRZN
Surrozen Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -2.93% $524.4M /srzn-vs-rgnx →
EDIT
Editas Medicine Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -0.68% $450.0M /edit-vs-rgnx →
PROK
ProKidney Corp. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -3.29% $444.4M /prok-vs-rgnx →
VALN
Valneva SE
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.52% $541.8M /valn-vs-rgnx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590877

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), REGENXBIO Inc. (RGNX) reported GAAP revenue of $170.4M (+104.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.3M , and +88.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$193.9M, operating cash flow of -$124.0M, and free cash flow of -$126.4M (+28.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGNX closed FY2025 with $453.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $170.4M -$193.9M -$124.0M -$126.4M $453.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $83.3M -$227.1M -$173.1M -$175.6M $466.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $90.2M -$263.5M -$218.4M -$218.4M — —

3. RGNX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGNX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, REGENXBIO Inc. (NASDAQ: RGNX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $7.41 (+2.35% 1D, market cap $489.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RGNX ranks #669 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGNX compare to SRZN and EDIT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), RGNX carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRZN (Surrozen Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $524.4M) and EDIT (Editas Medicine Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $450.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGNX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RGNX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGNX?

Per RGNX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590877), REGENXBIO Inc. generated $170.4M in revenue (+104.5% YoY), -$193.9M in net income, and -$126.4M in free cash flow against $453.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGNX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGNX last traded at $7.41 (+2.35% on volume of 1,035,633 shares), positioning the stock -7.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.98) and -19.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.17). Across its 52-week range of $5.46 to $16.19, RGNX sits at the 18.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.48 to $8.34).

RGNX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RGNX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RGNX.

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