MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Was There Any Sign ADT Stock Would Run?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why REZI Stock surged +2.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.80 +2.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.85
Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.85B
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Is REZI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Resideo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: REZI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.80 (+2.68% 1D, market cap $2.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, REZI ranks #344 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does REZI compare to ADIG and BXC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), REZI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.34B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REZI?
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Per REZI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740332), Resideo Technologies Inc. generated $7.47B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), -$527.0M in net income, and -$1.25B in free cash flow against $8.43B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.85 (+0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REZI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY REZI SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 8.1% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$17.07-3.6% Next Q
37
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$16.46+8.5% Next Q
40
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$17.86+5.3% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D$18.80-6.3% Hist 90D α
45
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a REZI Turnaround Squeeze
While REZI currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.42) and Max Pain ($19.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.45.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REZI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “REZI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why REZI Stock surged +2.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) surged +2.68% to $18.80, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($15.9 – $29.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($15.9 – $29.95) with RSI-14 at 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $18.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 29.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live REZI Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Stock Market Today, Oct. 29: ADT Surges 33% on $10 Per Share All-Cash Acquisition DealOn Oct. 29, 2026, the home security provider's board unanimously approved the buyout, setting a clear price ceiling for investors watching the transaction close.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
ADT (ADT) Soars 7.9%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?ADT (ADT) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 3d ago
Ariel Focus Fund Q3 2026 Performers And DetractorsThe Ariel Focus Fund experienced a decline in Q3 2026, underperforming major market indices. Read the full analysis for more details.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Resideo Technologies (REZI) Draws Attention Following ADI Global Distribution Spin-OffAriel Investments, an investment management company, released its “Ariel Appreciation Fund” Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. Copy main article 1st para. The Fund faced a challenging t
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Resideo (REZI) Stock May Be 49% Below Fair Value On Cash FlowResideo Technologies has had a bumpy share price journey, and the question now is whether the current US$18.29 level is properly supported by the cash it can generate. After a mix of gains and setbacks in recent years, i
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Ariel Appreciation Fund Q3 2026 Scorecard: Buys, Sells, And StandoutsAriel Appreciation Fund discusses Q3 2026 performance and portfolio adjustments including spin-offs. Read the full analysis for more details.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Ariel Fund Q3 2026 Leaders And LaggardsAriel Fund faced a decline in Q3 2026, trailing major value benchmarks. Read the full analysis for more details.
MARKET WIREFintel • 10d ago
Resideo Technologies Consensus Price Target Lowered by 12.10% to $32.66MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Resideo Announces Expected Q1 Software Update to Honeywell Home Smart Thermostats for Compatibility with Apple HomeViewResideo Technologies (NYSE: REZI), a leading global provider of home comfort, security and safety solutions, announced plans to release a software update in the first quarter of 2027 that will enable its existing Honeywe
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REZI)
- ✓Walkthrough of REZI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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REZI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.70%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $18.61H $18.95L $18.44C $18.80VOL 1.18M
RES: $25.58SUP: $15.11SMA50: $18.42SMA200: $22.72
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
REZI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REZI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REZI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REZI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REZI)
Industrials Rank #344 of 485
⚔️ ADIG vs REZI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (REZI vs. ADIG, BXC, ARCB, EFXT)
Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) ranks #344 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #185 by equity capitalization ($2.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCB leads on earnings valuation at 47.0x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. ARCB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with REZI at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REZI
ACTIVE
Resideo Technologies Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 29.4% | 8.8% | +2.68% | $2.85B | Benchmark Subject |
| ADIG ADI Global Distribution Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +2.19% | $1.34B | /adig-vs-rezi → |
| BXC Bluelinx Holdings Inc. | C | 64/100 | — | 15.3% | 4.9% | +4.47% | $615.1M | /bxc-vs-rezi → |
| ARCB ArcBest Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 47.0x | — | 5.4% | +0.48% | $2.83B | /arcb-vs-rezi → |
| EFXT Enerflex Ltd | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.80% | $2.97B | /efxt-vs-rezi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001740332In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.47B (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.76B , and +19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$527.0M, operating cash flow of -$1.14B, and free cash flow of -$1.25B (-444.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, REZI closed FY2025 with $8.43B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $7.47B | -$527.0M | -$1.14B | -$1.25B | $8.43B | $3.17B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $6.76B | $116.0M | $444.0M | $364.0M | $8.20B | $1.98B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.24B | $210.0M | $440.0M | $440.0M | — | — |
3. REZI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs REZI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Resideo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: REZI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.80 (+2.68% 1D, market cap $2.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, REZI ranks #344 in composite RQD confidence.
How does REZI compare to ADIG and BXC in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), REZI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.34B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REZI?
Per REZI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740332), Resideo Technologies Inc. generated $7.47B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), -$527.0M in net income, and -$1.25B in free cash flow against $8.43B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is REZI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
REZI last traded at $18.80 (+2.68% on volume of 1,282,187 shares), positioning the stock +2.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.42) and -17.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.72). Across its 52-week range of $15.90 to $29.95, REZI sits at the 20.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($17.30 to $20.30).
REZI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is REZI stock moving today?
Why REZI Stock surged +2.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.