Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RENT / financials

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Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A) (RENT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$2.64 -1.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.63

Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A) (RENT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $100.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.63 (-0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RENT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RENT SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.77-0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.76+30.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.30+14.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.64-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RENT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RENT currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.41) and Max Pain ($2.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RENT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RENT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RENT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$3.5M (8% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $33.3M

FY24

Rev $40.7M

FY25

Rev $43.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$43.8M	-50%	-80%	$22.6M	$3.5M	-45%
FY 2024	$40.7M	-50%	-80%	-$69.9M	$12.9M	-45%
FY 2023	$33.3M	8%	-80%	-$113.2M	-$15.7M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RENT)

✓Walkthrough of RENT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RENT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.65H $2.66L $2.37C $2.64VOL 347.5K

RES: $3.01SUP: $1.14SMA50: $2.41SMA200: $4.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RENT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RENT Butterfly Map → + Track RENT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RENT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RENT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RENT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RENT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #795 of 1011 ⚔️ HTLM vs RENT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RENT vs. HTLM, BARK, PLBY, NAAS)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A) (RENT) ranks #795 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #757 by equity capitalization ($100.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RENT leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while HTLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 27.9% gross margin. HTLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with RENT at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RENT ACTIVE Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	4.4x	—	-35.0%	-1.86%	$100.3M	Benchmark Subject
HTLM HomesToLife Ltd	C+	67/100	8.1x	27.9%	85.0%	-1.32%	$133.6M	/htlm-vs-rent →
BARK BARK Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	61.3%	-35.0%	0.00%	$73.4M	/bark-vs-rent →
PLBY Playboy Inc.	E	33/100	—	71.0%	-4.1%	+2.63%	$140.2M	/plby-vs-rent →
NAAS NaaS Technology Inc.	C	63/100	—	—	—	+14.39%	$59.6M	/naas-vs-rent →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001468327

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A) (RENT) reported GAAP revenue of $43.8M (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.7M , and +31.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.6M, operating cash flow of $3.5M, and free cash flow of $3.5M (-72.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RENT closed FY2025 with $221.0M in total assets against $156.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$43.8M	$22.6M	$3.5M	$3.5M	$221.0M	$156.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$40.7M	-$69.9M	$12.9M	$12.9M	$240.0M	$333.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$33.3M	-$113.2M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	—	—

3. RENT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RENT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RENT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.64 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $100.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RENT ranks #795 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RENT compare to HTLM and BARK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), RENT carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HTLM (HomesToLife Ltd) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $133.6M) and BARK (BARK Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $73.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RENT leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while HTLM leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RENT?

Per RENT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001468327), Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A) generated $43.8M in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $22.6M in net income, and $3.5M in free cash flow against $221.0M in total assets and $156.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RENT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RENT last traded at $2.64 (-1.86% on volume of 534,076 shares), positioning the stock +9.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.41) and -35.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.08). Across its 52-week range of $1.51 to $10.13, RENT sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.31 to $2.97).