Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.38 -13.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $13.3M
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.5% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REFR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.05 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.38$0.43 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

REFR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 36/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -16%

Model Bullish Setup (36/100)Model Risk Weight (64/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.1M-$2.0M-$1.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.3M-$1.3M-$790.4K52%
FY 20232023-12-31$909.6K-$1.9M-$2.3M52%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REFR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of REFR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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REFR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.70%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.39H $0.40L $0.34C $0.38VOL 200.3K
RES: $0.99SUP: $0.33SMA50: $0.54SMA200: $0.75
$1.45$1.15$0.85$0.55$0.25RES $0.99SUP $0.33$0.382026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REFR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REFR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REFR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REFR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REFR)

Industrials Rank #406 of 485 ⚔️ RMCO vs REFR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (REFR vs. RMCO, NTIP, VHC, AMOD)

Industry: Multi-Sector Companies (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) ranks #406 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #445 by equity capitalization ($13.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REFR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RMCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.7% ROIC and 16.3% gross margin. RMCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with REFR at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
REFR ACTIVE
Research Frontiers Incorporated
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -13.63% $13.3M Benchmark Subject
RMCO
Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 — 16.3% -1.7% +5.86% $35.7M /rmco-vs-refr →
NTIP
Network-1 Technologies Inc.
D- 39/100 — 72.0% -10.0% +0.63% $36.4M /ntip-vs-refr →
VHC
VirnetX Holding Corp
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -3.89% $43.9M /vhc-vs-refr →
AMOD
Alpha Modus Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 96.0% -35.0% -8.93% $65.1M /amod-vs-refr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793524

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.1M (-16.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.3M , and +23.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.0M, operating cash flow of -$1.3M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M (-68.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, REFR closed FY2025 with $2.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.1M -$2.0M -$1.3M -$1.3M $2.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.3M -$1.3M -$788.8K -$790.4K $4.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $909.6K -$1.9M -$2.3M -$2.3M — —

3. REFR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Research Frontiers Incorporated (NASDAQ: REFR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.38 (-13.63% 1D, market cap $13.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, REFR ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REFR compare to RMCO and NTIP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), REFR carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RMCO (Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.7%, cap $35.7M) and NTIP (Network-1 Technologies Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $36.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RMCO leads on capital efficiency (-1.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REFR?

Per REFR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793524), Research Frontiers Incorporated generated $1.1M in revenue (-16.0% YoY), -$2.0M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $2.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REFR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REFR last traded at $0.38 (-13.63% on volume of 126,510 shares), positioning the stock -29.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.54) and -49.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.75). Across its 52-week range of $0.34 to $2.10, REFR sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.43).

REFR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is REFR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is REFR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for REFR, spanning a range between $1 and $0.43.

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