MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why RDNW Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.27 -1.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.24
RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) (RDNW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $205.6M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RDNW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) (NASDAQ: RDNW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $5.27 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $205.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDNW ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RDNW compare to SY and ASUR in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RDNW carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.5%, and ROIC of -0.1%. By comparison, SY (So-Young International Inc. American Depository Shares) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $201.6M) and ASUR (Asure Software Inc) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $217.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RDNW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UIS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDNW?
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Per RDNW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001596961), RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) generated $1.08B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), -$52.4M in net income, and $10.3M in free cash flow against $673.6M in total assets and $207.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.24 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDNW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDNW SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 39% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+8/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 40% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$4.94-2.6% Next Q
27
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.81+12.7% Next Q
30
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$5.42-2.8% Next Q
32
CurrentGrade D-$5.27-8.5% Hist 90D α
35
Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RDNW Turnaround Squeeze
While RDNW currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.49) and Max Pain ($5.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.98.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDNW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDNW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RDNW Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) (RDNW) slipped -1.68% to $5.27, trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($3.2 – $8.55). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($3.2 – $8.55) with RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 27.5% gross margin and $10.3M annual free cash flow.
Live RDNW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDNW)
- ✓Walkthrough of RDNW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RDNW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.91%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $5.15H $5.27L $4.88C $5.27VOL 43.1K
RES: $6.93SUP: $3.96SMA50: $5.49SMA200: $6.34
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RDNW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDNW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDNW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDNW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDNW)
Technology Rank #621 of 714
⚔️ SY vs RDNW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RDNW vs. SY, ASUR, UIS, FIRY)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) (RDNW) ranks #621 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #473 by equity capitalization ($205.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RDNW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 28.2% gross margin. ASUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with RDNW at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDNW
ACTIVE
RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) | D- | 35/100 | — | 27.5% | -0.1% | -1.68% | $205.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| SY So-Young International Inc. American Depository Shares | E | 24/100 | — | 47.8% | -19.9% | -4.29% | $201.6M | /sy-vs-rdnw → |
| ASUR Asure Software Inc | D | 50/100 | — | 67.5% | -2.8% | 0.00% | $217.5M | /asur-vs-rdnw → |
| UIS Unisys Corporation | D | 48/100 | — | 28.2% | 85.0% | -1.48% | $194.0M | /uis-vs-rdnw → |
| FIRY Firy Inc. (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | 87.5% | -35.0% | +9.19% | $223.1M | /firy-vs-rdnw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001596961In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) (RDNW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (-10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.21B , and -20.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.4M, operating cash flow of $15.9M, and free cash flow of $10.3M (-89.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDNW closed FY2025 with $673.6M in total assets against $207.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.37, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.08B | -$52.4M | $15.9M | $10.3M | $673.6M | $207.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.21B | -$78.6M | $99.4M | $97.4M | $755.2M | $212.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.37B | -$215.5M | — | — | — | — |
3. RDNW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RDNW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) (NASDAQ: RDNW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $5.27 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $205.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDNW ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RDNW compare to SY and ASUR in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RDNW carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.5%, and ROIC of -0.1%. By comparison, SY (So-Young International Inc. American Depository Shares) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $201.6M) and ASUR (Asure Software Inc) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $217.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RDNW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UIS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDNW?
Per RDNW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001596961), RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) generated $1.08B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), -$52.4M in net income, and $10.3M in free cash flow against $673.6M in total assets and $207.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RDNW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RDNW last traded at $5.27 (-1.68% on volume of 48,910 shares), positioning the stock -4.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.49) and -16.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.34). Across its 52-week range of $3.20 to $8.55, RDNW sits at the 38.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.61 to $5.93).
RDNW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RDNW stock moving today?
Why RDNW Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.