Why RDN Stock surged +2.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$35.68 +2.06% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.72B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk A-
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$43 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $35.00
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Why RDN Stock surged +2.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) surged +2.06% to $35.68 as options desks priced 56% call premium vs. 44% put protection around the $35 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($30.53 – $41.05) with RSI-14 at 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.5M in bullish call flow vs. $2.0M in put flow (Put/Call 0.79x, implied earnings swing ±6.6%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 44% gross margin and $66.0M annual free cash flow.
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RDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $35.75H $35.91L $35.11C $35.54VOL 1.03M
RES: $36.61SUP: $28.52SMA50: $34.82SMA200: $35.21
$41.79$38.74$35.68$32.63$29.58RES $36.61SUP $28.52$35.542026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

RDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is RDN stock moving today?

Why RDN Stock surged +2.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.