Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$35.68 +2.06% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.72B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk A-
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$43 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $35.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RDN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$66.0M (5.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.20BGross Profit $526.7M (44%)Cost of Sales $670.4MOp Profit $526.7M (44%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $0Net Profit$582.6M (48.7%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.18B
FY24
Rev $1.21B
FY25
Rev $1.20B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.20B44%57.4%$582.6M$66.0M8.7%
FY 2024$1.21B96.8%59.1%$604.4M-$717.9M8.8%
FY 2023$1.18B44%60.5%$603.1M$476.5M35.9%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring RDN)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of RDN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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RDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $35.75H $35.91L $35.11C $35.54VOL 1.03M
RES: $36.61SUP: $28.52SMA50: $34.82SMA200: $35.21
$41.79$38.74$35.68$32.63$29.58RES $36.61SUP $28.52$35.542026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

RDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Radian Group Inc. (RDN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RDN converted $1.2B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 44% operating margin, and $66.0M in free cash flow (5.5% FCF margin).