Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.39 -6.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.38

Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RDHL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDHL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $0.39 (-6.91% 1D, market cap $3.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RDHL ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RDHL compare to ENLV and ONCO in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), RDHL carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ENLV (Enlivex Ltd.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $3.9M) and ONCO (Onconetix Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RDHL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ENLV leads on capital efficiency (-0.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDHL?
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For Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #276 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.38 (-1.43%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.6% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE RDHL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDHL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDHL SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($103.7K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$0.53-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$0.50-16% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$0.42-7.1% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$0.39-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RDHL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RDHL currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.55) and Max Pain ($0.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDHL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDHL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RDHL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RDHL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDHL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RDHL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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RDHL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -62.50%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $0.43H $0.43L $0.39C $0.39VOL 85.7K
RES: $1.92SUP: $0.39SMA50: $0.55SMA200: $0.81
$1.69$1.33$0.98$0.62$0.27RES $1.92SUP $0.39$0.392026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDHL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDHL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDHL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDHL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDHL)

Health Care Rank #276 of 1016 ⚔️ ENLV vs RDHL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RDHL vs. ENLV, ONCO, ERNA, GRI)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL) ranks #276 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #966 by equity capitalization ($3.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RDHL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ENLV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.6% ROIC and — gross margin. RDHL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDHL ACTIVE
Redhill Biopharma Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — — -6.91% $3.7M Benchmark Subject
ENLV
Enlivex Ltd.
D- 36/100 — — -0.6% -29.92% $3.9M /enlv-vs-rdhl →
ONCO
Onconetix Inc.
E 30/100 — 77.6% -35.0% -4.27% $3.5M /onco-vs-rdhl →
ERNA
Ernexa Therapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -6.63% $3.4M /erna-vs-rdhl →
GRI
GRI Bio Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -2.55% $3.4M /gri-vs-rdhl →

2. RDHL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL) operates in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care) with an equity capitalization of $3.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. RDHL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDHL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDHL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $0.39 (-6.91% 1D, market cap $3.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RDHL ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDHL compare to ENLV and ONCO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), RDHL carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ENLV (Enlivex Ltd.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $3.9M) and ONCO (Onconetix Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RDHL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ENLV leads on capital efficiency (-0.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDHL?

For Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #276 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDHL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDHL last traded at $0.39 (-6.91% on volume of 109,224 shares), positioning the stock -29.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.55) and -51.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.81). Across its 52-week range of $0.38 to $1.60, RDHL sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.44).

RDHL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RDHL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RDHL.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RDHL — Redhill Biopharma Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:20:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating assigns RDHL a score of 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars, each scored out of 20, are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 — the rating cites ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the absence of measurable return on capital and free-cash generation means the stock's value cannot currently be anchored to earnings or cash flow.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20 — reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. A sub-half score indicates limited evidence of conviction from large institutional holders.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 — reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the second-weakest pillar, signaling little visible insider buying conviction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 — the rating cites Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The lowest-scoring pillar suggests the stock's regime fit is poor relative to the framework's criteria.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 — cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance-sheet picture is comparatively less weak than the earnings and flow signals.

Translated into investor implications: the rating's upside case rests mainly on the balance-sheet pillar and on whatever catalyst flow emerges; the valuation tradeoff is that the cash-engine and flow pillars are weak, so the stock offers little fundamental earnings support at the current price. The overall grade signals caution and a "trim" stance rather than accumulation, and this is an educational reading of the framework, not personalized advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • NCI grant (RISK WATCH, RED light): A $2.9 million NCI grant was reported for clinical development of the opaganib and CAR T-cell combination in ultra-high-risk multiple myeloma (per the news feed, "PR Newswire"). This is flagged as a risk-watch item in the feed.
  • Drug rights return (MARKET WIRE): Drug rights are reported to return to RedHill as Hyloris agrees to a $200,000 break-up fee (per the news feed, "Stock Titan").
  • Price pressure (MARKET WIRE): A "Symmetrical Triangle" headline reports the shares pressured near $0.42 as they test lower support (per the news feed, "siam.in").
  • Other MARKET WIRE items: A depositary-share ratio headline (10,000 ordinary shares per depositary share), a Benzinga pre-market mover mention, and a Yahoo Finance seasonal-returns item.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are RDHL's reported revenues, earnings, cash, and debt across periods, given the financials section is empty?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target, given the analyst data section is empty?
  • Who are the institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holders, and what is their recent activity?
  • What is the status and commercial prospect of the opaganib program, and how material is the $200,000 break-up fee relative to the company's size?
  • What is the basis for the stated $3.7M market capitalization, and how does it reconcile with the Altman and Piotroski readings?

RDHL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Redhill Biopharma Ltd. (RDHL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RDHL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RDHL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.39?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RDHL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RDHL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $0.45 (+7.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RDHL (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $0.42?

Welcome to the RDHL (Redhill Biopharma Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.32 (-23.8%)
Spot @ $0.42

Pump the brakes on RDHL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RDHL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Redhill Biopharma Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.52 (+23.8%)
Spot @ $0.42

RDHL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RDHL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.42 (52-wk range $0.38 - $1.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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