Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RCL / earnings

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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$310.54 +4.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $83.06B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RCL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$21.43 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RCL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $15.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.8%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$17.93B	$4.27B	$1.24B	49.4%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$16.48B	$2.88B	$2.00B	47.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$13.90B	$1.70B	$3.85B	49.4%

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RCL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RCL
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RCL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.68%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-01O $298.3H $310.5L $298.3C $310.5VOL 2.71M

RES: $313.0SUP: $193.9SMA50: $272.2SMA200: $286.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RCL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RCL Butterfly Map → + Track RCL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RCL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #149 of 304 ⚔️ VIK vs RCL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RCL vs. VIK, CCL, BIP, FRO)

Industry: Marine Transportation (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #25 by equity capitalization ($83.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCL leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while RCL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.3% ROIC and 49.4% gross margin. FRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with RCL at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RCL ACTIVE Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.	C	64/100	19.5x	49.4%	17.3%	+4.10%	$83.06B	Benchmark Subject
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd	C	62/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+3.50%	$39.91B	/vik-vs-rcl →
CCL Carnival Corporation Ltd.	C+	66/100	14.1x	—	10.3%	+2.78%	$38.78B	/ccl-vs-rcl →
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP	D+	57/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.44%	$17.09B	/bip-vs-rcl →
FRO Frontline Plc	B	72/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.84%	$12.59B	/fro-vs-rcl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000884887

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) reported GAAP revenue of $17.93B (+8.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.48B , and +29.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.27B, operating cash flow of $6.46B, and free cash flow of $1.24B (-38.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCL closed FY2025 with $41.62B in total assets against $14.12B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.93B	$4.27B	$6.46B	$1.24B	$41.62B	$14.12B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$16.48B	$2.88B	$5.26B	$2.00B	$37.07B	$13.20B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$13.90B	$1.70B	$4.48B	$3.85B	$45.68B	$10.69B

3. RCL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $310.54 (+4.10% 1D, market cap $83.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RCL ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCL compare to VIK and CCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), RCL carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 49.4%, and ROIC of 17.3%. By comparison, VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $39.91B) and CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $38.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCL leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while RCL leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCL?

Per RCL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000884887), Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. generated $17.93B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $4.27B in net income, and $1.24B in free cash flow against $41.62B in total assets and $14.12B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCL last traded at $310.54 (+4.10% on volume of 2,705,442 shares), positioning the stock +14.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($272.19) and +8.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($286.59). Across its 52-week range of $222.22 to $356.39, RCL sits at the 65.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($289.11 to $331.97).

RCL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RCL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RCL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.9% event move for RCL, spanning a range between $289.11 and $331.97.

Direct Sub-Reports: RCL RQD Cockpit RCL 12M Forecast RCL Earnings & Move RCL Dividends & DRIP RCL Insiders & 13F RCL Whale Options RCL Profit Sankey RCL News & Why