Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RCKY / forecast

CAL (61) WWW (74) SHOO (69) BIRK (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$49.50 -0.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.37

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $370.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.37 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RCKY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RCKY SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$44.93+2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$45.81+2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$46.84+5.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$49.50+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RCKY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, RCKY faces multiple-compression risk if 16.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.36) or 200D SMA ($41.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($50.17) toward Bear Floor ($39.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RCKY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RCKY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RCKY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $49.50: 202.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $39.13

$7,905

$-2,095 (-20.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $50.17

$10,135

+$135 (+1.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $59.20

$11,960

+$1,960 (+19.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$52	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$56	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$45	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RCKY Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RCKY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.99%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $49.65H $50.20L $48.04C $49.50VOL 86.3K

SUP: $44.69SMA50: $45.36SMA200: $41.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RCKY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RCKY Butterfly Map → + Track RCKY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCKY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCKY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RCKY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCKY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #389 of 1011 ⚔️ CAL vs RCKY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RCKY vs. CAL, WWW, SHOO, BIRK)

Industry: Shoe Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) ranks #389 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #629 by equity capitalization ($370.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCKY leads on earnings valuation at 16.6x trailing P/E, while WWW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 47.3% gross margin. WWW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with RCKY at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RCKY ACTIVE Rocky Brands Inc.	C-	61/100	16.6x	40.9%	8.1%	-0.38%	$370.8M	Benchmark Subject
CAL Caleres Inc.	C-	61/100	—	43.0%	0.9%	+5.01%	$469.6M	/cal-vs-rcky →
WWW Wolverine World Wide Inc.	B	74/100	17.6x	47.3%	12.4%	+5.16%	$1.69B	/www-vs-rcky →
SHOO Steven Madden Ltd.	C+	69/100	73.6x	41.6%	6.5%	+5.27%	$3.29B	/shoo-vs-rcky →
BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc	D+	54/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+5.70%	$5.51B	/birk-vs-rcky →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000895456

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) reported GAAP revenue of $482.0M (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $453.8M ) , GAAP net income of $22.3M, operating cash flow of $16.3M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-79.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCKY closed FY2025 with $477.5M in total assets against $114.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.21, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$482.0M	$22.3M	$16.3M	$9.7M	$477.5M	$114.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$453.8M	$11.4M	$52.8M	$48.1M	$457.3M	$120.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$10.4M	$73.6M	$73.6M	—	—

3. RCKY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RCKY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rocky Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: RCKY) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $49.50 (-0.38% 1D, market cap $370.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RCKY ranks #389 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCKY compare to CAL and WWW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), RCKY carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.6x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, CAL (Caleres Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $469.6M) and WWW (Wolverine World Wide Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCKY leads on earnings multiple (16.6x) while WWW leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCKY?

Per RCKY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895456), Rocky Brands Inc. generated $482.0M in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $22.3M in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $477.5M in total assets and $114.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCKY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCKY last traded at $49.50 (-0.38% on volume of 91,187 shares), positioning the stock +9.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.36) and +20.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.17). Across its 52-week range of $27.96 to $53.01, RCKY sits at the 86.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($46.28 to $52.72).

RCKY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RCKY's 12-month stock price target?

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $50.17 (+1.4% from $49.50), with a bull-case target of $59.2 and a bear-case floor of $39.13.

Is RCKY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RCKY C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RCKY RQD Cockpit RCKY 12M Forecast RCKY Earnings & Move RCKY Dividends & DRIP RCKY Insiders & 13F RCKY Whale Options RCKY Profit Sankey RCKY News & Why