Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.2% Move

$2.19 -1.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.19

Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $31.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.19 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 27.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE RAVE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RAVE SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.1% FCF Margin ($3.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
79
Grade A-$2.30-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$2.18+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$2.20-0.5% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$2.19+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RAVE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, RAVE faces multiple-compression risk if 10.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.58) or 200D SMA ($2.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.32) toward Bear Floor ($1.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RAVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.2% Swing Band

±$0.20 Expected Swing
$1.99 (-9.2%)Spot $2.19$2.39 (+9.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RAVE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $0.20 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.2%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-06-28$12.9M$2.9M$3.5M52%
FY 20242025-06-29$12.0M$2.7M$3.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RAVE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RAVE
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RAVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.94%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.17H $2.23L $2.09C $2.19VOL 60.0K
RES: $2.82SUP: $1.95SMA50: $2.58SMA200: $2.87
$3.60$3.18$2.77$2.35$1.93RES $2.82SUP $1.95$2.192026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAVE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAVE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #163 of 1011 ⚔️ MWYN vs RAVE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RAVE vs. MWYN, DIT, HFFG, UNFI)

Industry: Food Distributors (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) ranks #163 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #853 by equity capitalization ($31.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAVE leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while RAVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RAVE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RAVE ACTIVE
Rave Restaurant Group Inc.
B- 71/100 10.9x — 18.4% -1.13% $31.3M Benchmark Subject
MWYN
Marwynn Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 — 15.3% -35.0% +24.82% $35.5M /mwyn-vs-rave →
DIT
AMCON Distributing Company
D+ 56/100 107.3x 6.7% 8.7% 0.00% $61.0M /dit-vs-rave →
HFFG
HF Foods Group Inc.
D 48/100 — 16.9% -8.6% +0.69% $80.6M /hffg-vs-rave →
UNFI
United Natural Foods Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 13.3% -1.6% -3.25% $2.78B /unfi-vs-rave →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0000718332

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.9M (+7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.0M ) , GAAP net income of $2.9M, operating cash flow of $3.6M, and free cash flow of $3.5M (+4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAVE closed FY2025 with $17.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.22, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-28 $12.9M $2.9M $3.6M $3.5M $17.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-29 $12.0M $2.7M $3.4M $3.3M $16.1M —

3. RAVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (NASDAQ: RAVE) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (-1.13% 1D, market cap $31.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RAVE ranks #163 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RAVE compare to MWYN and DIT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Food Distributors), RAVE carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, MWYN (Marwynn Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $35.5M) and DIT (AMCON Distributing Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 107.3x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $61.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAVE leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while RAVE leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAVE?

Per RAVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000718332), Rave Restaurant Group Inc. generated $12.9M in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $2.9M in net income, and $3.5M in free cash flow against $17.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RAVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAVE last traded at $2.19 (-1.13% on volume of 19,367 shares), positioning the stock -15.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.58) and -23.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.87). Across its 52-week range of $2.06 to $3.60, RAVE sits at the 8.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($1.99 to $2.39).

RAVE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RAVE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is RAVE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.2% event move for RAVE, spanning a range between $1.99 and $2.39.

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