Stock Ratings / Health Care / QDEL / earnings

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QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$13.76 -1.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.69

QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $943.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.69 (-0.51%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QDEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY QDEL SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 15% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$13.42-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$12.91+6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$13.73+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$13.76-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QDEL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While QDEL currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.76) and Max Pain ($14.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QDEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “QDEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.72 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

QDEL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 30/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -1.9%

Model Bullish Setup (30/100)Model Risk Weight (70/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-28	$2.73B	-$1.13B	-$83.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-29	$2.78B	-$2.05B	-$112.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$3.00B	-$10.1M	$280.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QDEL)

✓Walkthrough of QDEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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QDEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.87%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $13.45H $13.76L $12.48C $13.76VOL 1.74M

RES: $14.49SUP: $9.11SMA50: $12.76SMA200: $16.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QDEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 QDEL Butterfly Map → + Track QDEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QDEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QDEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QDEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QDEL)

Health Care Rank #940 of 1016 ⚔️ ACHV vs QDEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (QDEL vs. ACHV, MYGN, NNNN, TKNO)

Industry: Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) ranks #940 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #367 by equity capitalization ($943.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNNN leads on earnings valuation at 83.6x trailing P/E, while NNNN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.0% ROIC and 87.2% gross margin. NNNN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with QDEL at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
QDEL ACTIVE QuidelOrtho Corporation	E	30/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.78%	$943.6M	Benchmark Subject
ACHV Achieve Life Sciences Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	+4.96%	$739.9M	/achv-vs-qdel →
MYGN Myriad Genetics Inc.	D-	39/100	—	69.9%	-35.0%	+0.60%	$638.0M	/mygn-vs-qdel →
NNNN Anbio Biotechnology (Class A)	D	45/100	83.6x	87.2%	17.0%	-3.12%	$535.3M	/nnnn-vs-qdel →
TKNO Alpha Teknova Inc.	D	44/100	—	33.2%	-21.3%	+2.93%	$499.2M	/tkno-vs-qdel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001906324

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.78B , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.13B, operating cash flow of $105.2M, and free cash flow of -$83.0M (+26.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, QDEL closed FY2025 with $5.77B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$2.73B	-$1.13B	$105.2M	-$83.0M	$5.77B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$2.78B	-$2.05B	$83.0M	-$112.1M	$6.42B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.00B	-$10.1M	$280.2M	$280.2M	—	—

3. QDEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QDEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, QuidelOrtho Corporation (NASDAQ: QDEL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $13.76 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $943.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, QDEL ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QDEL compare to ACHV and MYGN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances), QDEL carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ACHV (Achieve Life Sciences Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $739.9M) and MYGN (Myriad Genetics Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $638.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNNN leads on earnings multiple (83.6x) while NNNN leads on capital efficiency (17.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QDEL?

Per QDEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001906324), QuidelOrtho Corporation generated $2.73B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), -$1.13B in net income, and -$83.0M in free cash flow against $5.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QDEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QDEL last traded at $13.76 (-1.78% on volume of 1,509,036 shares), positioning the stock +7.84% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.76) and -15.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.26). Across its 52-week range of $9.92 to $35.58, QDEL sits at the 15.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($12.04 to $15.48).

QDEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is QDEL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is QDEL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for QDEL, spanning a range between $12.04 and $15.48.

Direct Sub-Reports: QDEL RQD Cockpit QDEL 12M Forecast QDEL Earnings & Move QDEL Dividends & DRIP QDEL Insiders & 13F QDEL Whale Options QDEL Profit Sankey QDEL News & Why