CarParts.com Inc. (PRTS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.62 +5.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.69

CarParts.com Inc. (PRTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $69.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.68 (+0.75%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (12)SEC (5)Macro (13)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$12 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE PRTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PRTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PRTS SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (37% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 68% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$8.64-8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$7.94-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$7.87+9.5% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$8.62-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PRTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PRTS currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.17) and Max Pain ($9.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PRTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PRTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PRTS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.62: 1160.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.03
$6,995
$-3,005 (-30.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.73
$8,968
$-1,032 (-10.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.53
$13,376
+$3,376 (+33.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PRTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PRTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PRTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $8.35H $8.62L $6.50C $8.62VOL 135.5K
RES: $13.21SUP: $2.55SMA50: $8.17SMA200: $7.12
$11.44$9.54$7.63$5.73$3.83RES $13.21SUP $2.55$8.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PRTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PRTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PRTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PRTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PRTS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #906 of 1011 ⚔️ ONEW vs PRTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PRTS vs. ONEW, HZO, AAP, AZO)

Industry: Auto & Home Supply Stores (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CarParts.com Inc. (PRTS) ranks #906 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #785 by equity capitalization ($69.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AZO leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while AZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.8% ROIC and 52.6% gross margin. AZO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with PRTS at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PRTS ACTIVE
CarParts.com Inc.
D- 35/100 — 32.8% -35.0% +5.25% $69.5M Benchmark Subject
ONEW
OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — 22.8% -11.2% +1.48% $159.7M /onew-vs-prts →
HZO
MarineMax Inc. (FL)
D 50/100 — 32.5% 2.4% +0.17% $1.16B /hzo-vs-prts →
AAP
Advance Auto Parts Inc.
E 28/100 62.8x 43.4% -1.4% +0.31% $2.76B /aap-vs-prts →
AZO
AutoZone Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.2x 52.6% 55.8% -0.62% $50.49B /azo-vs-prts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001378950

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), CarParts.com Inc. (PRTS) reported GAAP revenue of $547.5M (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $588.8M , and -19.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$50.4M, operating cash flow of -$34.1M, and free cash flow of -$42.0M (-310.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PRTS closed FY2025 with $184.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.64, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $547.5M -$50.4M -$34.1M -$42.0M $184.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $588.8M -$40.6M $10.3M -$10.2M $210.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $675.7M -$8.2M $50.0M $50.0M — —

3. PRTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PRTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CarParts.com Inc. (NASDAQ: PRTS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $8.62 (+5.25% 1D, market cap $69.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PRTS ranks #906 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PRTS compare to ONEW and HZO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), PRTS carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 32.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ONEW (OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.2%, cap $159.7M) and HZO (MarineMax Inc. (FL)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PRTS?

Per PRTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001378950), CarParts.com Inc. generated $547.5M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), -$50.4M in net income, and -$42.0M in free cash flow against $184.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PRTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PRTS last traded at $8.62 (+5.25% on volume of 99,805 shares), positioning the stock +5.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.17) and +21.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.12). Across its 52-week range of $3.70 to $10.98, PRTS sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($7.66 to $9.58).

PRTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PRTS's 12-month stock price target?

CarParts.com Inc. (PRTS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.73 (-10.3% from $8.62), with a bull-case target of $11.53 and a bear-case floor of $6.03.

Is PRTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PRTS D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 35/100.

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