Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PLBY / options

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Playboy Inc. (PLBY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.17 +2.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17

Playboy Inc. (PLBY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $140.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17 (+0.28%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PLBY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PLBY SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.98+8.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.06+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.09+7.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.17-8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PLBY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PLBY currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.10) and Max Pain ($1.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PLBY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PLBY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±10%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PLBY)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PLBY.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PLBY)

✓Walkthrough of PLBY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PLBY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.36%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.15H $1.18L $1.13C $1.17VOL 681.1K

RES: $1.35SUP: $0.92SMA50: $1.10SMA200: $1.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLBY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PLBY Butterfly Map → + Track PLBY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PLBY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PLBY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PLBY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PLBY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #927 of 1011 ⚔️ HTLM vs PLBY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PLBY vs. HTLM, FLWS, RENT, NEGG)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Playboy Inc. (PLBY) ranks #927 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #732 by equity capitalization ($140.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RENT leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while HTLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 27.9% gross margin. HTLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with PLBY at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PLBY ACTIVE Playboy Inc.	E	33/100	—	71.0%	-4.1%	+2.63%	$140.2M	Benchmark Subject
HTLM HomesToLife Ltd	C+	67/100	8.1x	27.9%	85.0%	-1.32%	$133.6M	/htlm-vs-plby →
FLWS 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.	E	30/100	—	38.0%	-35.0%	-2.37%	$184.9M	/flws-vs-plby →
RENT Rent the Runway Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	4.4x	—	-35.0%	-1.86%	$100.3M	/rent-vs-plby →
NEGG Newegg Commerce Inc.	E	23/100	—	48.7%	-14.3%	-5.19%	$205.1M	/negg-vs-plby →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001803914

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Playboy Inc. (PLBY) reported GAAP revenue of $120.9M (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $116.1M , and -15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$12.7M, operating cash flow of $18.0K, and free cash flow of -$1.0M (+95.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PLBY closed FY2025 with $292.4M in total assets against $172.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$120.9M	-$12.7M	$18.0K	-$1.0M	$292.4M	$172.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$116.1M	-$79.4M	-$19.1M	-$21.4M	$284.7M	$176.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$142.9M	-$180.4M	-$43.3M	-$43.3M	—	—

3. PLBY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PLBY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Playboy Inc. (NASDAQ: PLBY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.17 (+2.63% 1D, market cap $140.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PLBY ranks #927 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PLBY compare to HTLM and FLWS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), PLBY carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.0%, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, HTLM (HomesToLife Ltd) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $133.6M) and FLWS (1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RENT leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while HTLM leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLBY?

Per PLBY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001803914), Playboy Inc. generated $120.9M in revenue (+4.1% YoY), -$12.7M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $292.4M in total assets and $172.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PLBY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PLBY last traded at $1.17 (+2.63% on volume of 648,918 shares), positioning the stock +6.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.10) and -18.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.44). Across its 52-week range of $0.95 to $2.75, PLBY sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($1.05 to $1.29).

PLBY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PLBY's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PLBY.

Direct Sub-Reports: PLBY RQD Cockpit PLBY 12M Forecast PLBY Earnings & Move PLBY Dividends & DRIP PLBY Insiders & 13F PLBY Whale Options PLBY Profit Sankey PLBY News & Why