Stock Ratings / Industrials / PKE / forecast

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Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$26.55 +1.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.56

Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $584.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.56 (+0.05%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 12.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PKE SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.9% FCF Margin ($9.5M FCF) & 30.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$26.38-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$26.31-2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$25.70+3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$26.55+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PKE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, PKE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.45) or 200D SMA ($30.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.63) toward Bear Floor ($21.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PKE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PKE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $26.55: 376.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $21.55

$8,117

$-1,883 (-18.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $27.63

$10,407

+$407 (+4.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $41.85

$15,763

+$5,763 (+57.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$29	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$39	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$25	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PKE Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $26.14H $26.64L $25.48C $26.55VOL 185.4K

RES: $39.24SUP: $23.94SMA50: $29.45SMA200: $30.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PKE Butterfly Map → + Track PKE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

32.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PKE)

Industrials Rank #96 of 485 ⚔️ XTND vs PKE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PKE vs. XTND, CDNL, ORN, YSS)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) ranks #96 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #287 by equity capitalization ($584.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PKE ACTIVE Park Aerospace Corp.	C+	67/100	—	30.9%	19.0%	+1.34%	$584.9M	Benchmark Subject
XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.47%	$475.7M	/xtnd-vs-pke →
CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)	D+	55/100	33.7x	—	54.6%	+1.51%	$765.5M	/cdnl-vs-pke →
ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common	D	50/100	148.9x	12.4%	7.1%	+9.76%	$370.4M	/orn-vs-pke →
YSS York Space Systems Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	—	+6.07%	$960.1M	/yss-vs-pke →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-01 • CIK 0000076267

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-01), Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) reported GAAP revenue of $73.3M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $62.0M ) , GAAP net income of $11.3K, operating cash flow of $11.5M, and free cash flow of $9.5M (+147.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PKE closed FY2025 with $118.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-01	$73.3M	$11.3K	$11.5M	$9.5M	$118.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-02	$62.0M	$5.9K	$4.7M	$3.8M	$124.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-03	$0	$7.5M	$4.4M	$4.4M	—	—

3. PKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Park Aerospace Corp. (NYSE: PKE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $26.55 (+1.34% 1D, market cap $584.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PKE ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PKE compare to XTND and CDNL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), PKE carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, XTND (Xtend AI Robotics Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $475.7M) and CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $765.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKE?

Per PKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-01, CIK 0000076267), Park Aerospace Corp. generated $73.3M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $11.3K in net income, and $9.5M in free cash flow against $118.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (31% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PKE last traded at $26.55 (+1.34% on volume of 180,556 shares), positioning the stock -9.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.45) and -13.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.85). Across its 52-week range of $18.25 to $39.86, PKE sits at the 38.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($24.11 to $28.99).

PKE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PKE's 12-month stock price target?

Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $27.63 (+4.1% from $26.55), with a bull-case target of $41.85 and a bear-case floor of $21.55.