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Stock Ratings / Technology / PHUN / financials
PAAI (55) GMHS (66) ODYS (26) SJ (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Phunware Inc. (PHUN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.86 -0.53% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.85

Phunware Inc. (PHUN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $38.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.85 (-0.29%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (9)SEC (5)Macro (13)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PHUN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PHUN SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (38% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 30% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.7% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.11-3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$2.04-4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$1.95-4.6% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.86-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PHUN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While PHUN currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.02) and Max Pain ($1.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.69.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHUNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPHUN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How PHUN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$2.6MGross Profit $1.3M (50.6%)Cost of Sales $1.3MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $1.3MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.8M
FY24
Rev $3.2M
FY25
Rev $2.6M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$2.6M50.6%-80%-$11.4M-$12.5M-45%
FY 2024$3.2M45.6%-80%-$10.3M-$13.3M-45%
FY 2023$4.8M50.6%-80%-$52.8M-$18.4M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PHUN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PHUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PHUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.45%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $1.83H $1.89L $1.79C $1.86VOL 87.4K
RES: $2.14SUP: $1.88SMA50: $2.02SMA200: $1.98
$2.33$2.18$2.04$1.89$1.75RES $2.14SUP $1.88$1.862026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ PHUN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track PHUN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHUN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHUN)

Technology Rank #632 of 714 βš”οΈ PAAI vs PHUN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PHUN vs. PAAI, GMHS, ODYS, SJ)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phunware Inc. (PHUN) ranks #632 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #578 by equity capitalization ($38.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GMHS leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while PAAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. GMHS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PHUN at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PHUN ACTIVE
Phunware Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 50.6% -35.0% -0.53% $38.5M Benchmark Subject
PAAI
Paradium.AI Inc.
D+ 55/100 β€” β€” 39.1% -4.76% $38.1M /paai-vs-phun β†’
GMHS
Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 9.8x 52.7% β€” +2.33% $38.9M /gmhs-vs-phun β†’
ODYS
Odysight.ai Inc.
E 26/100 β€” 28.9% -35.0% -10.63% $37.5M /odys-vs-phun β†’
SJ
Scienjoy Holding Corporation (Class A)
D+ 57/100 β€” 18.3% -20.2% +3.66% $36.1M /sj-vs-phun β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001665300

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Phunware Inc. (PHUN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.6M (-19.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.2M , and -47.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of -$12.5M, and free cash flow of -$12.5M (+6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHUN closed FY2025 with $120.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.6M -$11.4M -$12.5M -$12.5M $120.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.2M -$10.3M -$13.3M -$13.3M $114.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.8M -$52.8M -$18.4M -$18.4M β€” β€”

3. PHUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Phunware Inc. (NASDAQ: PHUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.86 (-0.53% 1D, market cap $38.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PHUN ranks #632 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHUN compare to PAAI and GMHS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), PHUN carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PAAI (Paradium.AI Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.1%, cap $38.1M) and GMHS (Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 9.8x, ROIC β€”, cap $38.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GMHS leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while PAAI leads on capital efficiency (39.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHUN?

Per PHUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001665300), Phunware Inc. generated $2.6M in revenue (-19.9% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$12.5M in free cash flow against $120.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHUN last traded at $1.86 (-0.53% on volume of 47,085 shares), positioning the stock -7.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.02) and -6.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.98). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.56, PHUN sits at the 30.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.7% ($1.72 to $2.00).

PHUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Phunware Inc. (PHUN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PHUN converted $2.6M of revenue into a 50.6% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: PHUN RQD Cockpit PHUN 12M Forecast PHUN Earnings & Move PHUN Dividends & DRIP PHUN Insiders & 13F PHUN Whale Options PHUN Profit Sankey PHUN News & Why
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