PetMed Express Inc. (PETS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.18 -0.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18

PetMed Express Inc. (PETS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $25.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18 (-0.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (8)SEC (3)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE PETS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PETS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PETS SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.29-8.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$1.18+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$1.22-3.3% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.18-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PETS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PETS currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.48) and Max Pain ($1.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PETS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PETS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.88% Total Yield
0.08% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $321/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PETS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PETS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PETS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.32%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.17H $1.20L $1.17C $1.18VOL 42.3K
RES: $1.50SUP: $1.05SMA50: $1.48SMA200: $2.11
$2.86$2.40$1.93$1.47$1.01RES $1.50SUP $1.05$1.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PETS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PETS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PETS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PETS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PETS)

Consumer Staples Rank #143 of 146 ⚔️ YI vs PETS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (PETS vs. YI, RDGT, GRDN, CVS)

Industry: Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores (5 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PetMed Express Inc. (PETS) ranks #143 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #117 by equity capitalization ($25.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRDN leads on earnings valuation at 52.1x trailing P/E, while GRDN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. GRDN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with PETS at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PETS ACTIVE
PetMed Express Inc.
E 26/100 — 28.1% -35.0% -0.84% $25.6M Benchmark Subject
YI
111 Inc.
D- 42/100 — 5.8% -20.5% +0.34% $26.2M /yi-vs-pets →
RDGT
Ridgetech Inc.
D- 43/100 — 3.6% — -2.45% $3.0M /rdgt-vs-pets →
GRDN
Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 52.1x 20.2% 37.7% +0.30% $2.56B /grdn-vs-pets →
CVS
CVS Health Corporation
C- 61/100 65.3x 45.0% 2.6% +0.42% $115.53B /cvs-vs-pets →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001040130

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), PetMed Express Inc. (PETS) reported GAAP revenue of $179.0M (-21.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $227.0M , and -34.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.3M, operating cash flow of -$28.4M, and free cash flow of -$33.0M (-8256.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PETS closed FY2025 with $88.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.24, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $179.0M -$57.3M -$28.4M -$33.0M $88.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $227.0M -$6.3M $4.7M -$395.0K $144.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $274.1M -$7.5M $4.3M $4.3M — —

3. PETS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PETS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PetMed Express Inc. (NASDAQ: PETS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (-0.84% 1D, market cap $25.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, PETS ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PETS compare to YI and RDGT in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores), PETS carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YI (111 Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.5%, cap $26.2M) and RDGT (Ridgetech Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRDN leads on earnings multiple (52.1x) while GRDN leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PETS?

Per PETS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001040130), PetMed Express Inc. generated $179.0M in revenue (-21.1% YoY), -$57.3M in net income, and -$33.0M in free cash flow against $88.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PETS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PETS last traded at $1.18 (-0.84% on volume of 12,520 shares), positioning the stock -20.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.48) and -44.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.11). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $4.10, PETS sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($1.09 to $1.27).

PETS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does PETS pay a dividend and is it safe?

PetMed Express Inc. (PETS) offers a 0.08% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.88% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

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