Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$3.68 -6.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.63

Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $181.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.63 (-1.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (4)Macro (6)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.9% Base Target
$11 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE PDYN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDYN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PDYN SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 48.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$5.04-24.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$3.79-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$3.70-0.5% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$3.68-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDYN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PDYN currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.07) and Max Pain ($3.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDYN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PDYN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How PDYN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$5.2MGross Profit $2.6M (48.7%)Cost of Sales $2.7MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.6MNet Profit$10.0M (191.4%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $6.1M
FY24
Rev $7.8M
FY25
Rev $5.2M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$5.2M48.7%-80%$10.0M-$28.4M-45%
FY 2024$7.8M55.2%-80%-$72.6M-$22.9M-45%
FY 2023$6.1M48.7%-80%-$115.6M-$76.6M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDYN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PDYN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PDYN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $3.54H $3.68L $3.26C $3.68VOL 861.6K
RES: $4.27SUP: $2.54SMA50: $5.07SMA200: $6.12
$9.48$7.79$6.11$4.42$2.74RES $4.27SUP $2.54$3.682026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDYN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -32.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDYN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDYN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDYN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDYN)

Technology Rank #714 of 714 ⚔️ AEYE vs PDYN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDYN vs. AEYE, ZENA, GIBO, SWMR)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) ranks #714 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #487 by equity capitalization ($181.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDYN leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while AEYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.1% ROIC and 78.3% gross margin. ZENA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with PDYN at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDYN ACTIVE
Palladyne AI Corp.
E 18/100 18.1x — -35.0% -6.83% $181.6M Benchmark Subject
AEYE
AudioEye Inc.
D 46/100 — 78.3% -12.1% +18.26% $179.1M /aeye-vs-pdyn →
ZENA
ZenaTech Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — -0.05% $185.8M /zena-vs-pdyn →
GIBO
GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 45/100 — — -35.0% +2.42% $192.2M /gibo-vs-pdyn →
SWMR
Swarmer Inc
D- 40/100 — 41.2% -35.0% +12.84% $167.4M /swmr-vs-pdyn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001826681

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) reported GAAP revenue of $5.2M (-32.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.8M , and -14.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.6M, and free cash flow of -$28.4M (-23.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDYN closed FY2025 with $95.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.2M $10.0M -$27.6M -$28.4M $95.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.8M -$72.6M -$22.6M -$22.9M $56.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.1M -$115.6M -$76.6M -$76.6M — —

3. PDYN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDYN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Palladyne AI Corp. (NASDAQ: PDYN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $3.68 (-6.83% 1D, market cap $181.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDYN ranks #714 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDYN compare to AEYE and ZENA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDYN carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M) and ZENA (ZenaTech Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $185.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDYN?

Per PDYN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001826681), Palladyne AI Corp. generated $5.2M in revenue (-32.6% YoY), $10.0M in net income, and -$28.4M in free cash flow against $95.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDYN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDYN last traded at $3.68 (-6.83% on volume of 744,519 shares), positioning the stock -27.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.07) and -39.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.12). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $10.00, PDYN sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.22 to $4.14).

PDYN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PDYN converted $5.2M of revenue into a 48.7% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

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