Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.1% Move

$22.68 +1.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $548.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$28 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDLB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.1% Swing Band

±$0.93 Expected Swing
$21.75 (-4.1%)Spot $22.68$23.61 (+4.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PDLB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $1.14 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$27.6M$54.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$10.3M$4.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$3.4M$6.5M52%
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PDLB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PDLB
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PDLB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.90%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $22.78H $22.81L $21.68C $22.68VOL 247.4K
RES: $23.79SUP: $20.06SMA50: $20.46SMA200: $18.72
$23.31$21.25$19.19$17.14$15.08RES $23.79SUP $20.06$22.682026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDLB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDLB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDLB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDLB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDLB)

Financials Rank #329 of 1096 ⚔️ NRIM vs PDLB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PDLB vs. NRIM, FMAO, KRNY, HTB)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB) ranks #329 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #684 by equity capitalization ($548.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NRIM leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while NRIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NRIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with PDLB at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDLB ACTIVE
Ponce Financial Group Inc.
C 65/100 19.9x — 5.1% +1.21% $548.6M Benchmark Subject
NRIM
Northrim BanCorp Inc
B+ 77/100 8.3x — 19.8% +0.83% $537.9M /nrim-vs-pdlb →
FMAO
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc.
C+ 67/100 15.3x — 9.0% +1.48% $510.7M /fmao-vs-pdlb →
KRNY
Kearny Financial Corp
D+ 52/100 23.0x — 3.4% +0.11% $599.3M /krny-vs-pdlb →
HTB
HomeTrust Bancshares Inc.
C- 60/100 11.6x — 10.7% +0.68% $747.9M /htb-vs-pdlb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001874071

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $27.6M, operating cash flow of $55.6M, and free cash flow of $54.6M (+1115.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDLB closed FY2025 with $3.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $27.6M $55.6M $54.6M $3.22B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $10.3M $7.2M $4.5M $3.04B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $3.4M $6.5M $6.5M — —

3. PDLB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDLB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ponce Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ: PDLB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.68 (+1.21% 1D, market cap $548.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PDLB ranks #329 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDLB compare to NRIM and FMAO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), PDLB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, NRIM (Northrim BanCorp Inc) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $537.9M) and FMAO (Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $510.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRIM leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while NRIM leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDLB?

Per PDLB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874071), Ponce Financial Group Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $27.6M in net income, and $54.6M in free cash flow against $3.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDLB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDLB last traded at $22.68 (+1.21% on volume of 213,995 shares), positioning the stock +10.85% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.46) and +21.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.72). Across its 52-week range of $14.01 to $22.81, PDLB sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 77.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($21.75 to $23.61).

PDLB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PDLB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PDLB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.1% event move for PDLB, spanning a range between $21.75 and $23.61.

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