CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why PBT Stock dropped -2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$32.46 -2.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.23
Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.51B
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PBT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: PBT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $32.46 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $1.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PBT ranks #121 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PBT compare to NBR and KOS in the Energy sector?
▼
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PBT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 21.1%, cap $1.48B) and KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PBT?
▼
For Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #121 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.23 (-0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PBT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$34.86-4.9% Next Q
64
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$33.14+1.6% Next Q
61
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$33.68-3.6% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade D+$32.46-0.4% Hist 90D α
56
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PBT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, PBT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.87) or 200D SMA ($26.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.17) toward Bear Floor ($25.09).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PBT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PBT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PBT Stock dropped -2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) dropped -2.81% to $32.46, trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($16.25 – $37). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($16.25 – $37) with RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $32.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $42.4M annual free cash flow.
Live PBT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PBT)
- ✓Walkthrough of PBT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.59%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $32.59H $32.60L $31.31C $32.46VOL 79.2K
RES: $38.86SUP: $32.80SMA50: $33.87SMA200: $26.80
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PBT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PBT)
Energy Rank #121 of 211
⚔️ NBR vs PBT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PBT vs. NBR, KOS, GFR, PDS)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) ranks #121 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #129 by equity capitalization ($1.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with PBT at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT
ACTIVE
Permian Basin Royalty Trust | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -2.81% | $1.51B | Benchmark Subject |
| NBR Nabors Industries Ltd. | D | 44/100 | 5.2x | — | 21.1% | -1.43% | $1.48B | /nbr-vs-pbt → |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.90% | $1.60B | /kos-vs-pbt → |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -2.02% | $1.63B | /gfr-vs-pbt → |
| PDS Precision Drilling Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +2.10% | $1.35B | /pds-vs-pbt → |
2. PBT Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTPermian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $1.51B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. PBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: PBT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $32.46 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $1.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PBT ranks #121 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PBT compare to NBR and KOS in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PBT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 21.1%, cap $1.48B) and KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PBT?
For Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #121 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PBT last traded at $32.46 (-2.81% on volume of 76,404 shares), positioning the stock -4.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.87) and +21.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.80). Across its 52-week range of $16.25 to $37.00, PBT sits at the 78.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($29.83 to $35.09).
PBT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PBT stock moving today?
Why PBT Stock dropped -2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.