Stock Ratings / Health Care / PASG / earnings

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Passage Bio Inc. (PASG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$3.52 +5.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.55

Passage Bio Inc. (PASG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.55 (+0.84%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PASG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PASG SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$3.69-5.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$3.50-3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$3.37+4.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.52-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PASG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PASG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.27) and Max Pain ($3.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PASG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PASG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.44 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PASG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$45.5M	-$31.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	-$64.8M	-$48.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$102.1M	-$78.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PASG)

✓Walkthrough of PASG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PASG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.12%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $3.48H $3.61L $3.44C $3.52VOL 7.2K

RES: $4.70SUP: $3.27SMA50: $4.27SMA200: $6.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PASG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PASG Butterfly Map → + Track PASG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PASG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PASG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PASG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PASG)

Health Care Rank #339 of 1016 ⚔️ INTS vs PASG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (PASG vs. INTS, INAB, ATYR, BCDA)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Passage Bio Inc. (PASG) ranks #339 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #886 by equity capitalization ($11.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PASG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PASG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PASG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PASG ACTIVE Passage Bio Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.71%	$11.3M	Benchmark Subject
INTS Intensity Therapeutics Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.18%	$10.9M	/ints-vs-pasg →
INAB IN8bio Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.91%	$9.7M	/inab-vs-pasg →
ATYR aTyr Pharma Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	+4.56%	$13.5M	/atyr-vs-pasg →
BCDA BioCardia Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.26%	$14.0M	/bcda-vs-pasg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001787297

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Passage Bio Inc. (PASG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$45.5M, operating cash flow of -$31.5M, and free cash flow of -$31.5M (+34.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PASG closed FY2025 with $62.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$45.5M	-$31.5M	-$31.5M	$62.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$64.8M	-$48.0M	-$48.0M	$102.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$102.1M	-$78.3M	-$78.3M	—	—

3. PASG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PASG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Passage Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: PASG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $3.52 (+5.71% 1D, market cap $11.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PASG ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PASG compare to INTS and INAB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), PASG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, INTS (Intensity Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.9M) and INAB (IN8bio Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PASG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PASG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PASG?

Per PASG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001787297), Passage Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$45.5M in net income, and -$31.5M in free cash flow against $62.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PASG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PASG last traded at $3.52 (+5.71% on volume of 16,689 shares), positioning the stock -17.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.27) and -43.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.25). Across its 52-week range of $3.29 to $20.00, PASG sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.08 to $3.96).

PASG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PASG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Passage Bio Inc. (PASG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PASG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PASG, spanning a range between $3.08 and $3.96.

Direct Sub-Reports: PASG RQD Cockpit PASG 12M Forecast PASG Earnings & Move PASG Dividends & DRIP PASG Insiders & 13F PASG Whale Options PASG Profit Sankey PASG News & Why