Paradium.AI Inc. (PAAI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.80 -4.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79

Paradium.AI Inc. (PAAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $38.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79 (-1.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 29.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (9)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$6 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE PAAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PAAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PAAI SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 30.3% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$1.08-20.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$0.86-15.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$0.73+9.6% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$0.80-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PAAI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PAAI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 48.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.09) or 200D SMA ($1.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.79) toward Bear Floor ($0.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PAAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PAAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.10 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.80$0.90 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PAAI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.1%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$134.8M$124.9M$39.2M50.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$125.9M-$100.7M-$16.1M44.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$143.6M-$55.6M-$24.8M50.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PAAI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PAAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PAAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -68.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.78H $1.03L $0.77C $0.80VOL 774.5K
RES: $3.66SUP: $0.69SMA50: $1.09SMA200: $1.84
$4.61$3.55$2.49$1.43$0.37RES $3.66SUP $0.69$0.802026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PAAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PAAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PAAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PAAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PAAI)

Technology Rank #340 of 714 ⚔️ PHUN vs PAAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PAAI vs. PHUN, ODYS, GMHS, SJ)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Paradium.AI Inc. (PAAI) ranks #340 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #579 by equity capitalization ($38.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GMHS leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while PAAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GMHS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PAAI at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PAAI ACTIVE
Paradium.AI Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — 39.1% -4.76% $38.1M Benchmark Subject
PHUN
Phunware Inc.
E 34/100 — 50.6% -35.0% -0.53% $38.5M /phun-vs-paai →
ODYS
Odysight.ai Inc.
E 26/100 — 28.9% -35.0% -10.63% $37.5M /odys-vs-paai →
GMHS
Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 9.8x 52.7% — +2.33% $38.9M /gmhs-vs-paai →
SJ
Scienjoy Holding Corporation (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — 18.3% -20.2% +3.66% $36.1M /sj-vs-paai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000894871

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Paradium.AI Inc. (PAAI) reported GAAP revenue of $134.8M (+7.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $125.9M , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $124.9M, operating cash flow of $39.2M, and free cash flow of $39.2M (+343.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PAAI closed FY2025 with $112.6M in total assets against $97.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $134.8M $124.9M $39.2M $39.2M $112.6M $97.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $125.9M -$100.7M -$16.1M -$16.1M $116.4M $110.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $143.6M -$55.6M -$24.8M -$24.8M — —

3. PAAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PAAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Paradium.AI Inc. (NYSE: PAAI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $0.80 (-4.76% 1D, market cap $38.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PAAI ranks #340 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PAAI compare to PHUN and ODYS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), PAAI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.1%. By comparison, PHUN (Phunware Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $38.5M) and ODYS (Odysight.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GMHS leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while PAAI leads on capital efficiency (39.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAAI?

Per PAAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894871), Paradium.AI Inc. generated $134.8M in revenue (+7.1% YoY), $124.9M in net income, and $39.2M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $97.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PAAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PAAI last traded at $0.80 (-4.76% on volume of 101,454 shares), positioning the stock -26.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.09) and -56.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.84). Across its 52-week range of $0.70 to $5.65, PAAI sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.90).

PAAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PAAI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Paradium.AI Inc. (PAAI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PAAI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PAAI, spanning a range between $1 and $0.9.

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