Why OXSQ Stock advanced +0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.13 +0.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.13

Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $121.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.13 (-0.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.5% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OXSQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXSQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OXSQ SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$1.32-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$1.31-0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$1.30-13.1% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$1.13-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OXSQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OXSQ currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.29) and Max Pain ($1.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXSQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OXSQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OXSQ Stock advanced +0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) advanced +0.89% to $1.13, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($0.78 – $2.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($0.78 – $2.05) with RSI-14 at 21.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.1% around $1.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OXSQ Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Oxford Square Capital Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Oxford Square Capital (NASDAQ:OXSQ) reported third-quarter net investment income of approximately $4.9 million, or $0.04 per share, down from approximately $5.1 million, or $0.05 per share, in the prior quarter, as the c

MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Oxford Square Capital Corp. Announces Net Asset Value and Selected Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 and Declaration of Distributions on Common Stock for the Months Ending January 31, February 28, and March 31, 2027

GREENWICH, Conn., Oct. 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oxford Square Capital Corp. (NasdaqGS: OXSQ) (NasdaqGS: OXSQG) (NasdaqGS: OXSQH) (the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”) announced today its financial results and related

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OXSQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OXSQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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OXSQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.00H $1.13L $0.78C $1.13VOL 9.52M
RES: $1.36SUP: $1.13SMA50: $1.29SMA200: $1.55
$2.06$1.72$1.37$1.02$0.67RES $1.36SUP $1.13$1.132026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OXSQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXSQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXSQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXSQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXSQ)

Financials Rank #1056 of 1096 ⚔️ ILLU vs OXSQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OXSQ vs. ILLU, PRE, TACO, INV)

Industry: Blank Checks (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) ranks #1056 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #942 by equity capitalization ($121.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TACO leads on earnings valuation at 48.6x trailing P/E, while TACO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. PRE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with OXSQ at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OXSQ ACTIVE
Oxford Square Capital Corp.
E 33/100 — — -12.9% +0.89% $121.7M Benchmark Subject
ILLU
Illumination Acquisition Corp I (Class A)
D+ 56/100 — — — -0.05% $102.4M /illu-vs-oxsq →
PRE
Prenetics Global Limited Class A Ordinary Share
C- 59/100 — — — +2.48% $321.5M /pre-vs-oxsq →
TACO
Berto Acquisition Corp.
E 32/100 48.6x — -2.7% +0.14% $382.5M /taco-vs-oxsq →
INV
Innventure Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -0.49% $26.4M /inv-vs-oxsq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001259429

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$18.7M, operating cash flow of -$13.7M, and free cash flow of -$13.7M (-153.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, OXSQ closed FY2025 with $306.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$18.7M -$13.7M -$13.7M $306.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $5.9M $25.7M $25.7M $299.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $17.2M $65.5M $65.5M — —

3. OXSQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OXSQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Oxford Square Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: OXSQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.13 (+0.89% 1D, market cap $121.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OXSQ ranks #1056 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OXSQ compare to ILLU and PRE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Blank Checks), OXSQ carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.9%. By comparison, ILLU (Illumination Acquisition Corp I (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $102.4M) and PRE (Prenetics Global Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $321.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TACO leads on earnings multiple (48.6x) while TACO leads on capital efficiency (-2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXSQ?

Per OXSQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001259429), Oxford Square Capital Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$18.7M in net income, and -$13.7M in free cash flow against $306.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OXSQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OXSQ last traded at $1.13 (+0.89% on volume of 1,573,056 shares), positioning the stock -12.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.29) and -27.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.55). Across its 52-week range of $0.78 to $2.05, OXSQ sits at the 27.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($1.02 to $1.24).

OXSQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is OXSQ stock moving today?

Why OXSQ Stock advanced +0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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