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Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$139.56 -3.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $421.99B

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS POSITIONING:32% Calls ($13.6M)

68% PutsMax Pain: $150.00

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2026 (10-K)

How ORCL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY22

Rev $42.44B

FY23

Rev $49.95B

FY24

Rev $52.96B

FY25

Rev $57.40B

FY26

Rev $67.36B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2026	$67.36B	52%	30.6%	$17.09B	-$23.69B	11.6%
FY 2025	$57.40B	52%	30.8%	$12.44B	-$394.0M	13.7%
FY 2024	$52.96B	52%	29%	$10.47B	$11.81B	14.3%
FY 2023	$49.95B	52%	26.2%	$8.50B	$8.47B	12.7%
FY 2022	$42.44B	52%	25.7%	$6.72B	$5.03B	11.4%
FY 2021	$40.48B	52%	37.6%	$13.75B	$13.75B	20.2%

SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

Oracle Corporation's FY2026 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-277521) registers an escalating structural risk profile driven by aggressive capital structure changes and ballooning AI datacenter obligations. The introduction of 6.50% Series D Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock directly signals debt-capacity exhaustion and rising cost of capital following an expansion of common shares outstanding by 71.6 million shares. Heightened dependency on GPU allocation alongside sovereign export friction creates acute margin and refinancing headwinds across the OCI infrastructure footprint.

CAPITAL STRUCTURE & EXPENSIVE HYBRID FINANCING (CRITICAL)

Oracle is forced to tap expensive hybrid equity at a punishing 6.50% coupon rather than refinancing exclusively through low-rate investment-grade debt. This signals strain on leverage covenants (Debt/Equity at 1.94x and Altman Z near distress thresholds at 1.54) as OCI capex burns through cash flow, locking in near-term cash dividend drain and future EPS dilution upon mandatory conversion.

EQUITY DILUTION & CAPITAL RAISING CAPACITY (MEDIUM)

The share count expanded by 71,638,000 common shares YoY (~2.55% net dilution), confirming Oracle has materially curtailed stock buybacks to conserve liquidity for AI cluster buildouts and employee equity retention. Common shareholders face persistent dilution to fund datacenter hardware purchases while legacy high-margin on-premise license support flattens.

DEBT RETIREMENT & REFINANCING PRESSURE (CRITICAL)

Maturity of cheap 3.125% legacy paper without clean like-for-like term debt rollovers forced management into structural hybrid equity. Swapping maturing low-rate fixed obligations for preferred shares carrying more than double the coupon creates a structural net interest and dividend drag on trailing free cash flow.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ORCL)

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ORCL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.78%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-01O $144.5H $144.5L $139.6C $139.6VOL 39.37M

RES: $125.2SUP: $124.1SMA50: $162.2SMA200: $151.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ORCL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ORCL Butterfly Map → + Track ORCL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

+ 1.67% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2025 → FY2026: Active share-count expansion (monitor SBC & convertibles).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORCL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORCL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 🎬 Curated Video: The first analyst covering Anthropic won't put a rating on it (Yahoo Finance) →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORCL)

Technology Rank #200 of 241 ⚔️ CSCO vs ORCL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ORCL vs. CSCO, PLTR, INTC, AMAT)

Industry: Cloud Infrastructure & Enterprise Database Software (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 241 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oracle Corporation (ORCL) ranks #200 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #15 by equity capitalization ($421.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORCL leads on earnings valuation at 20.9x trailing P/E, while PLTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.9% ROIC and 84.8% gross margin. PLTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ORCL at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ORCL ACTIVE Oracle Corporation	D+	52/100	20.9x	—	11.4%	-3.44%	$421.99B	Benchmark Subject
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc.	B-	71/100	42.1x	64.9%	15.1%	-1.54%	$428.13B	/csco-vs-orcl →
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc.	B	72/100	146.7x	84.8%	26.9%	-0.20%	$471.81B	/pltr-vs-orcl →
INTC Intel Corporation	D-	42/100	—	34.8%	-1.2%	-3.62%	$486.60B	/intc-vs-orcl →
AMAT Applied Materials Inc.	C+	67/100	47.8x	48.7%	24.5%	+1.36%	$334.63B	/amat-vs-orcl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2022–FY2026)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-22 • CIK 0001341439

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2026, filed 2026-06-22), Oracle Corporation (ORCL) reported GAAP revenue of $67.36B (+17.3% vs. FY2025 revenue of $57.40B , and +58.7% cumulative change since FY2022) , GAAP net income of $17.09B, operating cash flow of $31.98B, and free cash flow of -$23.69B (-5911.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ORCL closed FY2026 with $261.76B in total assets against $129.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.52, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2026 (FY)	2026-06-22	$67.36B	$17.09B	$31.98B	-$23.69B	$261.76B	$129.54B
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-22	$57.40B	$12.44B	$20.82B	-$394.0M	$168.36B	$92.57B
FY2024 (FY)	2026-06-22	$52.96B	$10.47B	$18.67B	$11.81B	$140.98B	$86.87B
FY2023 (FY)	2025-06-18	$49.95B	$8.50B	$17.16B	$8.47B	$134.38B	$90.48B
FY2022 (FY)	2024-06-20	$42.44B	$6.72B	$9.54B	$5.03B	$109.30B	$75.86B

3. ORCL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ORCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $139.56 (-3.44% 1D, market cap $421.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 241 tracked Technology issuers, ORCL ranks #200 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ORCL compare to CSCO and PLTR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Cloud Infrastructure & Enterprise Database Software), ORCL carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, CSCO (Cisco Systems Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $428.13B) and PLTR (Palantir Technologies Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 146.7x, ROIC 26.9%, cap $471.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORCL leads on earnings multiple (20.9x) while PLTR leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORCL?

Per ORCL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2026, filed 2026-06-22, CIK 0001341439), Oracle Corporation generated $67.36B in revenue (+17.3% YoY), $17.09B in net income, and -$23.69B in free cash flow against $261.76B in total assets and $129.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Latest SEC insider/13F disclosure shows Rusckowski Stephen H (INSIDER) executed a BUY of 25,000 shares ($3.5M) on 2026-10-01.

Where is ORCL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ORCL last traded at $139.56 (-3.44% on volume of 39,367,025 shares), positioning the stock -13.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($162.23) and -8.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($151.84). Across its 52-week range of $60.78 to $345.72, ORCL sits at the 27.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($123.37 to $155.75).

ORCL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Oracle Corporation (ORCL)?

In FY 2026 (10-K), ORCL converted $67.4B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 30.6% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

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