OIO Group (OIO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.89 -3.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.88

OIO Group (OIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $657.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.88 (-0.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.1% Base Target
$13 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OIO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$1.70+4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$1.78+6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$1.90-0.5% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$1.89-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OIO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, OIO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.81) or 200D SMA ($4.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.87) toward Bear Floor ($1.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How OIO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$18.4M (0.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $1.08B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $998.4MNet Profit$865.3M (21.6%)Tax/Other $216.3M
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.90H $1.98L $1.84C $1.89VOL 103.9K
RES: $3.16SUP: $1.23SMA50: $1.81SMA200: $4.61
$10.84$8.27$5.70$3.13$0.56RES $3.16SUP $1.23$1.892026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OIO)

Utilities Rank #56 of 117 ⚔️ CWST vs OIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OIO vs. CWST, QRHC, GFL, AWX)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OIO Group (OIO) ranks #56 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #83 by equity capitalization ($657.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while GFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. GFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with OIO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OIO ACTIVE
OIO Group
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.08% $657.8M Benchmark Subject
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc.
D+ 56/100 — 33.8% 2.4% +2.01% $5.75B /cwst-vs-oio →
QRHC
Quest Resource Holding Corporation
D- 35/100 — 17.0% -12.3% -6.72% $23.4M /qrhc-vs-oio →
GFL
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% +3.33% $19.64B /gfl-vs-oio →
AWX
Avalon Holdings Corporation
C- 59/100 30.7x 19.5% 2.6% -2.68% $9.9M /awx-vs-oio →

2. OIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

OIO Group (OIO) operates in Environmental Services (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $657.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OIO Group (NASDAQ: OIO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.89 (-3.08% 1D, market cap $657.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OIO ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OIO compare to CWST and QRHC in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), OIO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B) and QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while GFL leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OIO?

For OIO Group (OIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #56 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OIO last traded at $1.89 (-3.08% on volume of 104,541 shares), positioning the stock +4.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.81) and -59.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.61). Across its 52-week range of $1.36 to $12.00, OIO sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.65 to $2.13).

OIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is OIO Group (OIO)?

In Trailing 12 Months, OIO converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and $18.4M in free cash flow (0.5% FCF margin).

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