CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 2d ago
Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week November 1Get a weekly dividend summary for Champions, Contenders, and Challengers.
Why ODC Stock dropped -2.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$73.26 -2.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.12
Oil-Dri Corporation Of America (ODC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $1.06B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.13 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 9.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ODC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ODC SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.8% FCF Margin ($47.6M FCF) & 29.5% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 8.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$85.98-12.4% Next Q
78
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$75.33+0.7% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$75.87-3.4% Next Q
73
CurrentGrade B-$73.26+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ODC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, ODC faces multiple-compression risk if 19.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($85.36) or 200D SMA ($79.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($77.22) toward Bear Floor ($60.07).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ODC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ODC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ODC Stock dropped -2.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Oil-Dri Corporation Of America (ODC) dropped -2.36% to $73.26, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($45.61 – $107). High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($45.61 – $107) with RSI-14 at 29.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.9% around $73.26 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 29.5% gross margin and $47.6M annual free cash flow.
Live ODC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Oil-Dri to Host First Quarter 2027 Earnings Discussion and Fiscal Year 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders via Live WebcastCHICAGO, Oct. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oil-Dri Corporation of America (NYSE: ODC) announced today that it expects to release earnings for its first quarter of fiscal year 2027 after the close of the U.S. stock market
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ODC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ODC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.42%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $73.66H $74.70L $71.00C $73.26VOL 143.2K
RES: $86.38SUP: $64.82SMA50: $85.36SMA200: $79.89
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ODC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ODC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ODC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ODC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ODC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #177 of 1011
⚔️ DAKT vs ODC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ODC vs. DAKT, BRC, TOYO, AMCR)
Industry: Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (10 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oil-Dri Corporation Of America (ODC) ranks #177 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #504 by equity capitalization ($1.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOYO leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while TOYO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.9% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. TOYO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with ODC at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODC
ACTIVE
Oil-Dri Corporation Of America | B- | 70/100 | 19.6x | 29.5% | 23.9% | -2.36% | $1.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| DAKT Daktronics Inc. | C | 65/100 | 21.0x | 27.3% | 30.2% | -0.05% | $951.3M | /dakt-vs-odc → |
| BRC Brady Corporation | B | 72/100 | 20.6x | 50.3% | 16.4% | +1.42% | $3.89B | /brc-vs-odc → |
| TOYO TOYO Co. Ltd | B | 73/100 | 5.1x | 22.5% | 41.9% | +23.04% | $200.8M | /toyo-vs-odc → |
| AMCR Amcor plc | D+ | 57/100 | 42.6x | 18.9% | 3.8% | +3.22% | $21.79B | /amcr-vs-odc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0000074046In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Oil-Dri Corporation Of America (ODC) reported GAAP revenue of $485.6M (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $437.6M , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $54.0M, operating cash flow of $80.2M, and free cash flow of $47.6M (+68.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ODC closed FY2025 with $388.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.80, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-07-31 | $485.6M | $54.0M | $80.2M | $47.6M | $388.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-07-31 | $437.6M | $39.4M | $60.3M | $28.3M | $353.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-07-31 | $413.0M | $29.6M | $49.8M | $49.8M | — | — |
3. ODC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ODC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Oil-Dri Corporation Of America (NYSE: ODC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $73.26 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $1.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ODC ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ODC compare to DAKT and BRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), ODC carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 29.5%, and ROIC of 23.9%. By comparison, DAKT (Daktronics Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 30.2%, cap $951.3M) and BRC (Brady Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $3.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOYO leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ODC?
Per ODC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000074046), Oil-Dri Corporation Of America generated $485.6M in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $54.0M in net income, and $47.6M in free cash flow against $388.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ODC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ODC last traded at $73.26 (-2.36% on volume of 97,865 shares), positioning the stock -14.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($85.36) and -8.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($79.89). Across its 52-week range of $45.61 to $107.00, ODC sits at the 45.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($65.27 to $81.25).
ODC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ODC stock moving today?
Why ODC Stock dropped -2.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support.